Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Leones del Norte vs Dep. Cuenca

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra, Ibarra
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Klimowicz M.
Assist: Mancinelli L.
19'
Coppo T.
22'
Klimowicz M.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Pro game between Leones del Norte and Dep. Cuenca finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Leones del Norte
15%
Draws
34%
Dep. Cuenca
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leones del Norte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Leones del Norte come out ahead of Dep. Cuenca on wins alone.
  • Model gives Leones del Norte a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Leones del Norte Clean Sheet 68%
Dep. Cuenca Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leones del Norte Dep. Cuenca
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 11 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.07 0.74
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2026 Liga Pro
Leones del Norte vs Dep. Cuenca
1:1
Mar 14, 2026 Liga Pro
Dep. Cuenca vs Leones del Norte
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leones del Norte Compare

Top Goalscorer Anangono J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Dep. Cuenca Compare

Top Goalscorer Klimowicz M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leones del Norte 77 / 100
Dep. Cuenca 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leones del Norte Dep. Cuenca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leones del Norte Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leones del Norte found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Dep. Cuenca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Dep. Cuenca lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leones del Norte VS Dep. Cuenca
1 Goals Scored 0.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Leones del Norte

(Home)
03 Sept
Leones del Norte
1 : 0
Orense
30 Aug
Emelec
2 : 1
Leones del Norte
22 Aug
Leones del Norte
2 : 3
Independiente del Valle
15 Aug
Manta
0 : 2
Leones del Norte
08 Aug
Aucas
3 : 0
Leones del Norte
Page 1 of 6

Dep. Cuenca

(Away)
07 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
0 : 1
Libertad
02 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 0
Guayaquil City
29 Aug
Tecnico U.
3 : 1
Dep. Cuenca
22 Aug
Dep. Cuenca
0 : 0
Mushuc Runa
16 Aug
Orense
2 : 0
Dep. Cuenca
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 29 23 2 4 70:31 71
2 Aucas 29 14 7 8 33:28 49
3 U. Catolica 29 13 9 7 49:26 48
4 Macara 29 14 6 9 40:33 48
5 LDU Quito 29 13 6 10 30:23 45
6 Barcelona SC 29 11 10 8 31:24 43
7 Libertad 29 11 8 10 31:31 41
8 Leones del Norte 28 10 8 10 30:30 38
9 Mushuc Runa 28 9 10 9 33:34 37
10 Guayaquil City 28 9 9 10 27:31 36
11 Emelec 28 9 9 10 24:33 36
12 Dep. Cuenca 29 10 5 14 24:36 35
13 Orense 28 8 6 14 31:42 30
14 Tecnico U. 29 9 2 18 27:42 29
15 Delfin 29 7 6 16 18:30 27
16 Manta 28 5 5 18 17:41 20
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)