Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Leones del Norte vs Dep. Cuenca

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra, Ibarra
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Klimowicz M.
Assist: Mancinelli L.
19'
Coppo T.
22'
Klimowicz M.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Pro game between Leones del Norte and Dep. Cuenca finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Leones del Norte
6%
Draws
4%
Dep. Cuenca
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Leones del Norte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dep. Cuenca come out ahead of Leones del Norte on wins alone.
  • Model gives Leones del Norte a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Leones del Norte Clean Sheet 68%
Dep. Cuenca Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leones del Norte Dep. Cuenca
Matches Played 28 33
Wins 10 13
Draws 10 8
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.38 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2026 Liga Pro
Leones del Norte vs Dep. Cuenca
1:1
Mar 14, 2026 Liga Pro
Dep. Cuenca vs Leones del Norte
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leones del Norte Compare

Top Goalscorer Anangono J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Dep. Cuenca Compare

Top Goalscorer Klimowicz M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leones del Norte 95 / 100
Dep. Cuenca 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leones del Norte Dep. Cuenca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Leones del Norte remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Leones del Norte's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Dep. Cuenca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Leones del Norte VS Dep. Cuenca
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Leones del Norte

(Home)
15 Jul
Leones del Norte
1 : 1
Dep. Cuenca
10 Jul
Leones del Norte
1 : 0
U. Catolica
04 Jul
Libertad
1 : 3
Leones del Norte
01 Jun
Leones del Norte
1 : 1
Macara
29 May
Huaquillas FC
0 : 1
Leones del Norte
Page 1 of 6

Dep. Cuenca

(Away)
15 Jul
Leones del Norte
1 : 1
Dep. Cuenca
12 Jul
Dep. Cuenca
0 : 1
Aucas
05 Jul
Barcelona SC
2 : 0
Dep. Cuenca
02 Jun
La Union
1 : 0
Dep. Cuenca
31 May
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 0
Delfin
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle19151343:1946
2Aucas1995521:1932
3Barcelona SC1987421:1431
4U. Catolica1985629:1829
5Macara2085721:2129
6LDU Quito1984719:1528
7Dep. Cuenca1984719:2128
8Emelec1976616:1727
9Leones del Norte1966720:2024
10Tecnico U.19721019:2023
11Orense1965822:2623
12Guayaquil City1965817:2223
13Delfin2065913:1923
14Mushuc Runa1956824:2921
15Libertad1956818:2521
16Manta1934127:2413
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)