Sport Picks
Leones del Norte vs Emelec
Ecuador
Liga Pro Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Leones del Norte play Emelec in the Liga Pro. It looks like a close match. Recently, Leones del Norte averaged 1.5 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. Emelec averaged 0.75 goals scored and 0.63 conceded. In past meetings, Leones del Norte won 1, Emelec won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 3, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Leones del Norte and 0.81 for Emelec. This points to a Leones del Norte double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Emelec has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Leones del Norte.
- Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga Pro provide steady trend data.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Leones del Norte | Emelec |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 0.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Leones del Norte Compare
Emelec Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Leones del Norte scored in 68% of their last 28 games.
Emelec let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 1.50 goals.
Leones del Norte went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Emelec lost 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 18 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 40:19 | 43 |
| 2 | Aucas | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 21:16 | 32 |
| 3 | Barcelona SC | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 20:13 | 30 |
| 4 | LDU Quito | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 19:14 | 28 |
| 5 | Dep. Cuenca | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 18:20 | 27 |
| 6 | U. Catolica | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 7 | Macara | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 18:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Emelec | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 14:17 | 24 |
| 9 | Tecnico U. | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 19:19 | 23 |
| 10 | Leones del Norte | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19:19 | 23 |
| 11 | Orense | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 22:24 | 23 |
| 12 | Guayaquil City | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16:21 | 22 |
| 13 | Mushuc Runa | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 23:27 | 21 |
| 14 | Libertad | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17:25 | 18 |
| 15 | Delfin | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 10:18 | 17 |
| 16 | Manta | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 7:23 | 13 |