Sport Picks
Leones del Norte vs Guayaquil City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Ecuador
Liga Pro Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra, Ibarra 
Match Events
10'
10'
Gonzalez P.
Assist: Mero E.
21'
21'
Arias R.
24'
24'
Caramuto M.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Pro game between Leones del Norte and Guayaquil City finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
30%
41%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Guayaquil City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Guayaquil City's 1.28 goals per match outpaces what Leones del Norte have produced (1.07).
- 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Leones del Norte Clean Sheet 15%
Guayaquil City Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Leones del Norte | Guayaquil City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 Liga Pro
Guayaquil City vs Leones del Norte
1:1
Jul 23, 2026 Liga Pro
Leones del Norte vs Guayaquil City
1:1
Mar 23, 2026 Liga Pro
Guayaquil City vs Leones del Norte
0:0
Oct 29, 2025 Serie B
Leones del Norte vs Guayaquil City
0:0
Aug 27, 2025 Serie B
Guayaquil City vs Leones del Norte
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Leones del Norte Compare
Top Goalscorer Pazmino D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Guayaquil City Compare
Top Goalscorer Gonzalez P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Leones del Norte 31 / 100
Guayaquil City 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Leones del Norte Guayaquil City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Guayaquil City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Leones del Norte's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Guayaquil City has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Leones del Norte has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Leones del Norte VS Guayaquil City
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Leones del Norte
(Home) 09 Oct
Libertad
3 : 0 Leones del Norte
19 Sept
Guayaquil City
1 : 1 Leones del Norte
13 Sept
Leones del Norte
0 : 1 Tecnico U.
08 Sept
Mushuc Runa
1 : 1 Leones del Norte
03 Sept
Leones del Norte
1 : 0 Orense
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Leones del Norte
0 : 1 Tecnico U.
03 Sept
Leones del Norte
1 : 0 Orense
22 Aug
Leones del Norte
2 : 3 Independiente del Valle
02 Aug
Leones del Norte
1 : 1 Barcelona SC
23 Jul
Leones del Norte
1 : 1 Guayaquil City
Page 1 of 3
Guayaquil City
(Away) 10 Oct
Guayaquil City
3 : 2 Emelec
19 Sept
Guayaquil City
1 : 1 Leones del Norte
12 Sept
Guayaquil City
3 : 1 Mushuc Runa
08 Sept
Orense
4 : 3 Guayaquil City
02 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 0 Guayaquil City
Page 1 of 6
08 Sept
Orense
4 : 3 Guayaquil City
02 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 0 Guayaquil City
22 Aug
Tecnico U.
2 : 3 Guayaquil City
02 Aug
Macara
2 : 1 Guayaquil City
23 Jul
Leones del Norte
1 : 1 Guayaquil City
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73:33 | 74 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 51:27 | 51 |
| 3 | Macara | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 41:33 | 51 |
| 4 | Aucas | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:28 | 50 |
| 5 | LDU Quito | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 31:24 | 46 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32:25 | 44 |
| 7 | Libertad | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:34 | 41 |
| 8 | Leones del Norte | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 31:32 | 39 |
| 9 | Guayaquil City | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33:36 | 39 |
| 10 | Emelec | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 25:34 | 39 |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35:38 | 38 |
| 12 | Dep. Cuenca | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:37 | 36 |
| 13 | Orense | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36:47 | 33 |
| 14 | Tecnico U. | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 28:42 | 32 |
| 15 | Delfin | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19:31 | 28 |
| 16 | Manta | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17:42 | 21 |
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)
