Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Leones del Norte vs Tecnico U.

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra, Ibarra
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Arce Y.
36' Event
Delgado B.
Assist: Estupinan L.
46'
Sub
Caicedo M. In: Portocarrero S.
Out: Caicedo M.

AI Match Summary

Tecnico U. in this Liga Pro matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tecnico U..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Leones del Norte
30%
Draws
41%
Tecnico U.
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tecnico U.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Tecnico U. haven't matched Leones del Norte's recent run of results.
  • Leones del Norte are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Liga Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Leones del Norte Clean Sheet 16%
Tecnico U. Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leones del Norte Tecnico U.
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 8 2
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.07 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Liga Pro
Leones del Norte vs Tecnico U.
0:1
May 24, 2026 Liga Pro
Tecnico U. vs Leones del Norte
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leones del Norte Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Tecnico U. Compare

Top Goalscorer Delgado B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leones del Norte 36 / 100
Tecnico U. 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leones del Norte Tecnico U.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tecnico U. has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Leones del Norte scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Leones del Norte stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leones del Norte VS Tecnico U.
1 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Leones del Norte

(Home)
19 Sept
Guayaquil City
1 : 1
Leones del Norte
13 Sept
Leones del Norte
0 : 1
Tecnico U.
08 Sept
Mushuc Runa
1 : 1
Leones del Norte
03 Sept
Leones del Norte
1 : 0
Orense
30 Aug
Emelec
2 : 1
Leones del Norte
Page 1 of 6

Tecnico U.

(Away)
20 Sept
Tecnico U.
1 : 1
Delfin
13 Sept
Leones del Norte
0 : 1
Tecnico U.
05 Sept
Tecnico U.
1 : 3
LDU Quito
01 Sept
Delfin
1 : 0
Tecnico U.
29 Aug
Tecnico U.
3 : 1
Dep. Cuenca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 30 24 2 4 73:33 74
2 U. Catolica 30 14 9 7 51:27 51
3 Macara 30 15 6 9 41:33 51
4 Aucas 30 14 8 8 33:28 50
5 LDU Quito 30 13 7 10 31:24 46
6 Barcelona SC 30 11 11 8 32:25 44
7 Libertad 30 11 8 11 33:34 41
8 Leones del Norte 30 10 9 11 31:32 39
9 Guayaquil City 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
10 Emelec 30 10 9 11 25:34 39
11 Mushuc Runa 30 9 11 10 35:38 38
12 Dep. Cuenca 30 10 6 14 25:37 36
13 Orense 30 9 6 15 36:47 33
14 Tecnico U. 30 10 2 18 28:42 32
15 Delfin 30 7 7 16 19:31 28
16 Manta 30 5 6 19 17:42 21
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)