Sport Picks
Leones del Norte vs U. Catolica
Ecuador
Liga Pro Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra 
AI Match Summary
Leones del Norte play U. Catolica in the Liga Pro. It looks like a close match. Recently, Leones del Norte averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1 conceded. U. Catolica averaged 1.48 goals scored and 1.19 conceded. In past meetings, Leones del Norte won 0, U. Catolica won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 8, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Leones del Norte and 1.44 for U. Catolica. This points to a U. Catolica double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Leones del Norte picked up more points recently compared to U. Catolica.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.44 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Leones del Norte | U. Catolica |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 31 |
| Wins | 8 | 11 |
| Draws | 10 | 10 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Leones del Norte scored in 68% of their last 28 games.
U. Catolica let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Leones del Norte went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
U. Catolica lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 36:18 | 40 |
| 2 | LDU Quito | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 19:13 | 27 |
| 3 | Dep. Cuenca | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 18:17 | 27 |
| 4 | U. Catolica | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 26:14 | 26 |
| 5 | Barcelona SC | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 18:13 | 26 |
| 6 | Aucas | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 19:16 | 26 |
| 7 | Orense | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21:22 | 22 |
| 8 | Emelec | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 13:16 | 22 |
| 9 | Tecnico U. | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 17:16 | 20 |
| 10 | Macara | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15:18 | 20 |
| 11 | Guayaquil City | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:19 | 19 |
| 12 | Mushuc Runa | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19:21 | 18 |
| 13 | Leones del Norte | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 15:18 | 17 |
| 14 | Libertad | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16:22 | 17 |
| 15 | Delfin | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 8:15 | 16 |
| 16 | Manta | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 7:23 | 12 |