Sport Picks
Leones Negros vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 Estadio Jalisco 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 game between Leones Negros and Alebrijes de Oaxaca finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alebrijes de Oaxaca.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Leones Negros have managed 0.88 goals a game lately — Alebrijes de Oaxaca are scoring more at 1.38.
- Model gives Leones Negros a 70% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Leones Negros | Alebrijes de Oaxaca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 7 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 15 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 2.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 2.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Leones Negros Compare
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Alebrijes de Oaxaca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.
Leones Negros scored in 71% of their last 28 games.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Alebrijes de Oaxaca's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlante | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 35:10 | 30 |
| 2 | Cancun | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 25:7 | 30 |
| 3 | Jaiba Brava | 14 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 24:15 | 30 |
| 4 | Irapuato | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 23:19 | 23 |
| 5 | Zacatecas Mineros | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 26:24 | 21 |
| 6 | Leones Negros | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19:17 | 21 |
| 7 | Club Atletico Morelia | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19:21 | 19 |
| 8 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 21:16 | 18 |
| 9 | Venados FC | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 29:30 | 18 |
| 10 | Atletico La Paz | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 25:30 | 17 |
| 11 | Tapatio | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 20:18 | 15 |
| 12 | Tlaxcala | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14:27 | 14 |
| 13 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 16:25 | 13 |
| 14 | Correcaminos | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 16:35 | 10 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8:26 | 5 |