Sport Picks
Leones Negros vs Correcaminos
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 Estadio Jalisco 
AI Match Summary
Leones Negros play Correcaminos in the Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Leones Negros averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Correcaminos averaged 1.1 goals scored and 2.3 conceded. In past meetings, Leones Negros won 3, Correcaminos won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jan 25, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Leones Negros and 1.31 for Correcaminos. This points to a Leones Negros double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Leones Negros picked up more points recently compared to Correcaminos.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.31 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Leones Negros | Correcaminos |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 5 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.7 | 2.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 2.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Leones Negros scored in 73% of their last 30 games.
Correcaminos let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Leones Negros went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Correcaminos lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Cancun | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 24:17 | 25 |
| 3 | Club Atletico Morelia | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 18:12 | 23 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 22:12 | 22 |
| 5 | Jaiba Brava | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15:15 | 21 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19:20 | 21 |
| 7 | Tapatio | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 28:24 | 20 |
| 8 | Atlante | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 21:17 | 20 |
| 9 | Irapuato | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 27:24 | 20 |
| 10 | Tlaxcala | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:17 | 20 |
| 11 | Venados FC | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 25:25 | 16 |
| 12 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 20:29 | 16 |
| 13 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17:28 | 13 |
| 14 | Correcaminos | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14:27 | 12 |
| 15 | Leones Negros | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 15:25 | 11 |