Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Leones Negros vs Monterrey

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
de la Rosa R.
39' Event
Martial A.
54' Event
Reyes C.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Leones Negros and Monterrey finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Monterrey.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Leones Negros
30%
Draws
34%
Monterrey
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Leones Negros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Monterrey carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Leones Negros are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Monterrey have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Leones Negros Clean Sheet 20%
Monterrey Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leones Negros Monterrey
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 0.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Leones Negros vs Monterrey
0:3
Oct 24, 2019 Copa Mexico
Leones Negros vs Monterrey
1:2
Aug 1, 2019 Copa Mexico
Monterrey vs Leones Negros
2:1
Jul 14, 2019 Club Friendly
Leones Negros vs Monterrey
1:2
Oct 26, 2017 Copa Mexico
Monterrey vs Leones Negros
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leones Negros Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Monterrey Compare

Top Goalscorer de la Rosa R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martial A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leones Negros 36 / 100
Monterrey 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leones Negros Monterrey

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Leones Negros's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Monterrey conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Leones Negros has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Leones Negros VS Monterrey
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%