Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Leones vs Barranquilla

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Metropolitano Ciudad de Itagui, Itagui
Wed, Oct 7, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Leones host Barranquilla in the Primera B. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Leones at 0.69 goals for, 1.52 against; Barranquilla at 1.4 for, 1.37 against. Head-to-head, Leones have won 1 to Barranquilla's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 25, 2026, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.13 - 1.50) back Barranquilla to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Leones
15%
Draws
73%
Barranquilla
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Barranquilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Barranquilla carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Barranquilla are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Leones Clean Sheet 16%
Barranquilla Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leones Barranquilla
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 10
Draws 9 8
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.69 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2026 Primera B
Barranquilla vs Leones
3:0
Aug 4, 2025 Primera B
Leones vs Barranquilla
2:2
Feb 24, 2025 Primera B
Barranquilla vs Leones
2:3
Oct 10, 2024 Primera B
Leones vs Barranquilla
1:2
Feb 16, 2024 Primera B
Barranquilla vs Leones
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leones 23 / 100
Barranquilla 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leones Barranquilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barranquilla Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Barranquilla conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Barranquilla's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Leones found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Leones VS Barranquilla
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Leones

(Home)
19 Sept
Leones
1 : 2
Boca Juniors de Cali
12 Sept
Envigado
1 : 1
Leones
04 Sept
Leones
0 : 3
Atletico F.C.
28 Aug
Independiente Valle del Cauca
1 : 0
Leones
24 Aug
Leones
1 : 6
Cartagena
Page 1 of 6

Barranquilla

(Away)
21 Sept
Bogota
2 : 1
Barranquilla
15 Sept
Barranquilla
0 : 2
Independiente Valle del Cauca
10 Sept
Patriotas
3 : 1
Barranquilla
05 Sept
Union Magdalena
1 : 2
Barranquilla
01 Sept
Barranquilla
2 : 1
Boca Juniors de Cali
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tigres Futbol Club 10 5 3 2 12:4 18
2 Real Cundinamarca 9 5 2 2 16:9 17
3 Independiente Valle del Cauca 9 5 2 2 10:3 17
4 Patriotas 10 5 2 3 17:16 17
5 Cartagena 9 4 2 3 16:10 14
6 Boca Juniors de Cali 9 4 2 3 14:11 14
7 Atletico F.C. 9 4 2 3 12:12 14
8 Real Santander 10 2 6 2 12:15 12
9 Bogota 9 3 2 4 6:9 11
10 Inter Palmira 9 3 2 4 7:11 11
11 Quindio 9 2 4 3 7:8 10
12 Orsomarso 8 2 3 3 4:6 9
13 Leones 9 2 3 4 7:15 9
14 Barranquilla 9 2 2 5 10:15 8
15 Envigado 8 1 4 3 6:8 7
16 Union Magdalena 8 2 1 5 5:9 7
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)