Sport Picks

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Leones vs Ind. Medellin

Colombia Colombia

Copa Colombia Estadio Metropolitano Ciudad de Itagui
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Chaverra L.
16' Event
Montoya S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Copa Colombia matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Leones
40%
Draws
29%
Ind. Medellin
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Ind. Medellin have won more games recently than Leones.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Leones Clean Sheet 20%
Ind. Medellin Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leones Ind. Medellin
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 5 14
Draws 7 9
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 0.83 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.83 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.83 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Copa Colombia
Leones vs Ind. Medellin
1:1
Sep 9, 2018 Primera A
Ind. Medellin vs Leones
1:1
Mar 19, 2018 Primera A
Leones vs Ind. Medellin
0:2
May 6, 2015 Copa Colombia
Leones vs Ind. Medellin
0:1
Feb 19, 2015 Copa Colombia
Ind. Medellin vs Leones
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leones Compare

Top Goalscorer Montoya S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.64
Avg xA / game 0.41

Ind. Medellin Compare

Top Goalscorer Chaverra L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leones 32 / 100
Ind. Medellin 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leones Ind. Medellin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ind. Medellin let in goals in 76% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Leones has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Leones found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Leones VS Ind. Medellin
0.83 Goals Scored 1.25
0.83 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
17% Over 2.5 38%
17% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dep. Cali440010:212
2Alianza42116:37
3Boca Juniors de Cali42118:87
4Bucaramanga41038:73
5Real Santander40041:130
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Millonarios431014:510
2Llaneros43017:29
3Chico41216:35
4Patriotas40224:72
5Atletico F.C.40132:161
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ind. Medellin42205:38
2Fortaleza C.E.I.F.41215:35
3Leones41214:55
4Cucuta40312:33
5Orsomarso40313:53
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dep. Pereira42204:28
2Real Cundinamarca42116:47
3Aguilas Doradas41307:46
4Jaguares de Cordoba41124:34
5Ind. Yumbo40132:101