Sport Picks
Leones vs Ind. Medellin Prediction & H2H Stats
Colombia
Copa Colombia Estadio Metropolitano Ciudad de Itagui, Itagui 
Match Events
10'
10'
Chaverra L.
16'
16'
Montoya S.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
30%
58%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ind. Medellin
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ind. Medellin have won more games recently than Leones.
- 58% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Ind. Medellin arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Ind. Medellin, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Leones Clean Sheet 11%
Ind. Medellin Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Leones | Ind. Medellin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 15 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 15 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.66 | 1.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 29, 2026 Copa Colombia
Leones vs Ind. Medellin
1:1
Sep 9, 2018 Primera A
Ind. Medellin vs Leones
1:1
Mar 19, 2018 Primera A
Leones vs Ind. Medellin
0:2
May 6, 2015 Copa Colombia
Leones vs Ind. Medellin
0:1
Feb 19, 2015 Copa Colombia
Ind. Medellin vs Leones
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Leones Compare
Top Goalscorer Montoya S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Ind. Medellin Compare
Top Goalscorer Chaverra L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Leones 30 / 100
Ind. Medellin 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Leones Ind. Medellin
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ind. Medellin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ind. Medellin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Leones scored in 55% of their last 29 games.
Leones has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Leones VS Ind. Medellin
0.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Leones
(Home) 28 Sept
Inter Palmira
1 : 0 Leones
19 Sept
Leones
1 : 2 Boca Juniors de Cali
12 Sept
Envigado
1 : 1 Leones
04 Sept
Leones
0 : 3 Atletico F.C.
28 Aug
Independiente Valle del Cauca
1 : 0 Leones
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Leones
1 : 2 Boca Juniors de Cali
04 Sept
Leones
0 : 3 Atletico F.C.
24 Aug
Leones
1 : 6 Cartagena
20 Aug
Leones
1 : 1 Real Cundinamarca
03 Aug
Leones
1 : 1 Quindio
Page 1 of 3
Ind. Medellin
(Away) 30 Sept
Ind. Medellin
2 : 2 Millonarios
27 Sept
Junior
2 : 0 Ind. Medellin
22 Sept
Ind. Medellin
2 : 1 Jaguares de Cordoba
18 Sept
Bucaramanga
2 : 2 Ind. Medellin
12 Sept
Chico
2 : 1 Ind. Medellin
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Junior
2 : 0 Ind. Medellin
18 Sept
Bucaramanga
2 : 2 Ind. Medellin
12 Sept
Chico
2 : 1 Ind. Medellin
10 Sept
Dep. Pasto
1 : 4 Ind. Medellin
04 Sept
Dep. Pereira
0 : 3 Ind. Medellin
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dep. Cali | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:2 | 12 |
| 2 | Alianza | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors de Cali | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:8 | 7 |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:7 | 3 |
| 5 | Real Santander | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:13 | 0 |
Promotion - Copa Colombia (First stage - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Millonarios | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14:5 | 10 |
| 2 | Llaneros | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:2 | 9 |
| 3 | Chico | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:3 | 5 |
| 4 | Patriotas | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | 2 |
| 5 | Atletico F.C. | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:16 | 1 |
Promotion - Copa Colombia (First stage - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ind. Medellin | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 8 |
| 2 | Fortaleza C.E.I.F. | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:3 | 5 |
| 3 | Leones | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 4 | Cucuta | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 5 | Orsomarso | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3:5 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa Colombia (First stage - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dep. Pereira | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 8 |
| 2 | Real Cundinamarca | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 7 |
| 3 | Aguilas Doradas | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 4 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 5 | Independiente Valle del Cauca | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:10 | 1 |
Promotion - Copa Colombia (First stage - Play Offs)
