Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Leones vs Inter Palmira

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Metropolitano Ciudad de Itagui
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Leones play Inter Palmira in the Primera B. It looks like a close match. Recently, Leones averaged 0.53 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Inter Palmira averaged 1.18 goals scored and 1.06 conceded. In past meetings, Leones won 1, Inter Palmira won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 21, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.63 for Leones and 1.31 for Inter Palmira. This points to a Inter Palmira double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Leones
22%
Draws
55%
Inter Palmira
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Inter Palmira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • Leones picked up more points recently compared to Inter Palmira.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.63 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Leones Clean Sheet 18%
Inter Palmira Clean Sheet 21%
First Half Goal 54%
Second Half Goal 57%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leones Inter Palmira
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 5 16
Draws 7 7
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 0.53 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Primera B
Leones vs Inter Palmira
1:2
Sep 10, 2025 Primera B
Inter Palmira vs Leones
1:0
Mar 12, 2025 Primera B
Leones vs Inter Palmira
1:2
Oct 2, 2024 Primera B
Leones vs Inter Palmira
2:0
Feb 21, 2024 Primera B
Inter Palmira vs Leones
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leones Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Inter Palmira Compare

Top Goalscorer Cardona J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Caicedo M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leones 24 / 100
Inter Palmira 54 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leones Inter Palmira

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Inter Palmira Win (2)
Secondary Pick Inter Palmira & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +53.4%
6.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15%
2.50
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Leones attacking → ← attacking Inter Palmira

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leones scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Inter Palmira let in goals in 61% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Leones went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Inter Palmira lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

22 Points in last 5 55
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Inter Palmira15122129:1338
2Union Magdalena15102327:1532
3Quindio1594220:1031
4Envigado1592424:1429
5Cartagena1575323:1526
6Bogota1565416:1423
7Barranquilla1562721:2020
8Tigres Futbol Club1555515:1420
9Ind. Yumbo1547413:1419
10Orsomarso1545613:1717
11Patriotas1545613:1717
12Boca Juniors de Cali1527615:2013
13Real Cundinamarca1527614:1913
14Leones152498:2410
15Atletico F.C.1516812:239
16Real Santander1514109:237