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Stadium Background

Leones vs Patriotas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Metropolitano Ciudad de Itagui, Itagui
Thu, Oct 15, 2026
VS
10:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Leones host Patriotas in the Primera B. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Leones at 0.71 goals for, 1.54 against; Patriotas at 1.11 for, 1.36 against. Head-to-head, Leones have won 1 to Patriotas's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 1, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.75, favoring Patriotas. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Leones
20%
Draws
60%
Patriotas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Patriotas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Patriotas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 20% — that's where the model lands on Leones taking it.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Leones Clean Sheet 12%
Patriotas Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leones Patriotas
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 5 8
Draws 9 9
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 0.71 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2026 Primera B
Patriotas vs Leones
1:0
Sep 20, 2025 Primera B
Leones vs Patriotas
0:1
Apr 11, 2025 Primera B
Patriotas vs Leones
3:1
Aug 19, 2023 Primera B
Patriotas vs Leones
1:3
Mar 6, 2023 Primera B
Leones vs Patriotas
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leones 38 / 100
Patriotas 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leones Patriotas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leones Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leones scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Patriotas has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Away concern: Patriotas has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Leones VS Patriotas
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Leones

(Home)
07 Oct
Leones
1 : 1
Barranquilla
28 Sept
Inter Palmira
1 : 0
Leones
19 Sept
Leones
1 : 2
Boca Juniors de Cali
12 Sept
Envigado
1 : 1
Leones
04 Sept
Leones
0 : 3
Atletico F.C.
Page 1 of 6

Patriotas

(Away)
03 Oct
Patriotas
0 : 1
Independiente Valle del Cauca
26 Sept
Boca Juniors de Cali
4 : 1
Patriotas
18 Sept
Patriotas
1 : 2
Union Magdalena
13 Sept
Quindio
1 : 2
Patriotas
10 Sept
Patriotas
3 : 1
Barranquilla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente Valle del Cauca 12 7 3 2 16:7 24
2 Real Cundinamarca 11 7 2 2 19:10 23
3 Tigres Futbol Club 12 6 4 2 14:5 22
4 Boca Juniors de Cali 11 5 3 3 18:14 18
5 Patriotas 11 5 2 4 17:17 17
6 Cartagena 12 4 4 4 21:16 16
7 Quindio 11 4 4 3 9:8 16
8 Atletico F.C. 12 4 3 5 15:19 15
9 Inter Palmira 11 4 2 5 8:12 14
10 Envigado 11 2 6 3 12:11 12
11 Union Magdalena 11 3 3 5 10:12 12
12 Bogota 11 3 3 5 9:13 12
13 Real Santander 11 2 6 3 13:18 12
14 Orsomarso 11 2 4 5 7:11 10
15 Leones 11 2 4 5 8:17 10
16 Barranquilla 11 2 3 6 11:17 9
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)