Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Leonesa vs CD Coria

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 Estadio Reino de León, León
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Algobia A.
20'
Pomares C.
30'
Llorente E.

AI Match Summary

The Primera RFEF - Group 1 game between Leonesa and CD Coria finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Leonesa
35%
Draws
25%
CD Coria
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Leonesa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • CD Coria carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Leonesa taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Leonesa Clean Sheet 68%
CD Coria Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leonesa CD Coria
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 5 15
Draws 10 8
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 0.86 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Leonesa vs CD Coria
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leonesa Compare

Top Goalscorer Algobia A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Benito P. A. P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

CD Coria Compare

Top Goalscorer Morcillo D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leonesa 50 / 100
CD Coria 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leonesa CD Coria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leonesa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Leonesa scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: CD Coria conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Leonesa stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leonesa VS CD Coria
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Leonesa

(Home)
26 Sept
Leonesa
2 : 2
CD Coria
20 Sept
CD Extremadura
0 : 1
Leonesa
13 Sept
Cacereno
1 : 0
Leonesa
06 Sept
Leonesa
1 : 0
AD Merida
30 Aug
Barakaldo
0 : 0
Leonesa
Page 1 of 6

CD Coria

(Away)
26 Sept
Leonesa
2 : 2
CD Coria
19 Sept
CD Coria
1 : 1
Real Aviles
13 Sept
Lugo
1 : 0
CD Coria
05 Sept
CD Coria
4 : 1
Barakaldo
30 Aug
Real Union
4 : 1
CD Coria
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones 6 5 1 0 15:7 16
2 Lugo 6 5 1 0 9:3 16
3 Ath Bilbao B 6 3 2 1 12:8 11
4 Cacereno 6 3 2 1 6:3 11
5 Ponferradina 6 3 2 1 5:3 11
6 Mirandes 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
7 Zamora 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
8 Racing Club Ferrol 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
9 Real Union 6 2 2 2 13:11 8
10 Deportivo Fabril 6 2 2 2 8:7 8
11 Pontevedra 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
12 Leonesa 6 2 2 2 4:5 8
13 CD Extremadura 6 2 0 4 5:6 6
14 AD Merida 6 2 0 4 9:11 6
15 Unionistas de Salamanca 6 2 0 4 9:12 6
16 Barakaldo 6 1 3 2 6:9 6
17 Real Aviles 6 1 2 3 9:10 5
18 CD Coria 6 1 2 3 8:11 5
19 UD Ourense 6 0 2 4 2:10 2
20 Arenas Getxo 6 0 2 4 4:14 2
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)