Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Leonesa vs Pontevedra - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 Estadio Reino de León, León
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Leonesa host Pontevedra in the Primera RFEF - Group 1. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Pontevedra have shipped 1.07 goals a game lately, while Leonesa have conceded 1.39 and scored 1. Past meetings favor Leonesa slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 26, 2025, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.06) point toward Pontevedra. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Leonesa
35%
Draws
25%
Pontevedra
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Leonesa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Pontevedra carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Leonesa's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Leonesa Clean Sheet 68%
Pontevedra Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leonesa Pontevedra
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 11
Draws 9 9
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2025 Club Friendly
Pontevedra vs Leonesa
0:1
Feb 11, 2023 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Pontevedra vs Leonesa
1:0
Oct 22, 2022 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Leonesa vs Pontevedra
2:0
Jan 20, 2019 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Leonesa vs Pontevedra
2:1
Sep 2, 2018 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Pontevedra vs Leonesa
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leonesa 59 / 100
Pontevedra 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leonesa Pontevedra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leonesa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Leonesa scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Pontevedra conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Leonesa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leonesa VS Pontevedra
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Leonesa

(Home)
18 Oct
UD Logrones
1 : 1
Leonesa
12 Oct
Leonesa
4 : 1
Arenas Getxo
03 Oct
Unionistas de Salamanca
2 : 0
Leonesa
26 Sept
Leonesa
2 : 2
CD Coria
20 Sept
CD Extremadura
0 : 1
Leonesa
Page 1 of 6

Pontevedra

(Away)
18 Oct
Pontevedra
1 : 0
Cacereno
11 Oct
Pontevedra
1 : 2
AD Merida
03 Oct
Racing Club Ferrol
2 : 0
Pontevedra
27 Sept
Pontevedra
1 : 1
Ponferradina
18 Sept
UD Logrones
1 : 1
Pontevedra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lugo 8 7 1 0 15:4 22
2 UD Logrones 8 5 2 1 17:11 17
3 Racing Club Ferrol 8 5 1 2 9:5 16
4 AD Merida 8 4 0 4 15:12 12
5 Ath Bilbao B 8 3 3 2 13:10 12
6 Zamora 8 3 3 2 10:8 12
7 Leonesa 8 3 3 2 9:7 12
8 Cacereno 8 3 3 2 7:5 12
9 Ponferradina 8 3 3 2 6:6 12
10 Real Aviles 8 3 2 3 14:10 11
11 Pontevedra 8 3 2 3 10:10 11
12 Mirandes 8 3 2 3 10:10 11
13 Real Union 8 2 4 2 15:13 10
14 CD Extremadura 8 3 1 4 11:10 10
15 Barakaldo 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
16 Deportivo Fabril 8 2 2 4 8:11 8
17 CD Coria 8 2 2 4 12:16 8
18 Unionistas de Salamanca 8 2 1 5 10:14 7
19 UD Ourense 8 1 2 5 3:13 5
20 Arenas Getxo 8 0 2 6 5:22 2
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)