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Leonico vs Galicia

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Baiano 2 2007
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AI Match Summary

The Baiano 2 2007 game between Leonico and Galicia finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Galicia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Leonico
15%
Draws
42%
Galicia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leonico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Galicia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Leonico a 43% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Galicia have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Leonico Clean Sheet 10%
Galicia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leonico Galicia
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 6 10
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1.17 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.34 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2025 Baiano 2
Leonico vs Galicia
1:3
Jun 27, 2024 Baiano 2
Galicia vs Leonico
0:0
May 28, 2023 Baiano 2
Leonico vs Galicia
1:4
Sep 2, 2007 Baiano 2
Leonico vs Galicia
0:4
Aug 12, 2007 Baiano 2
Galicia vs Leonico
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leonico 65 / 100
Galicia 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leonico Galicia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leonico Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Galicia let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Away concern: Galicia has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Leonico's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Leonico VS Galicia
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
3 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Leonico

(Home)
05 Jul
Grapiuna
0 : 6
Leonico
19 Jun
Leonico
5 : 2
Jacobina
12 Jun
Leonico
1 : 2
Barreiras
07 Jun
Fluminense de Feira
3 : 0
Leonico
30 May
Leonico
0 : 6
Feira FC
Page 1 of 6

Galicia

(Away)
22 Feb
Vitoria
3 : 0
Galicia
12 Feb
Galicia
2 : 1
Jequie
07 Feb
Porto-BA
1 : 0
Galicia
04 Feb
Galicia
1 : 2
Bahia de Feira
27 Jan
Galicia
1 : 0
Alagoinhas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Feirense 10 9 0 1 26:5 27
2 Galicia 10 7 0 3 23:11 21
3 Guanambi AC 10 7 0 3 16:13 21
4 Camacariense 10 3 2 5 9:17 11
5 AD Astro 10 2 1 7 13:15 7
6 Leonico 10 0 1 9 4:30 1
Promotion - Baiano 2 2007 (Play Offs)