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Leonico vs Jacobina

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2
Leonico Logo

Leonico

5 - 2
FT
Jacobina Logo

Jacobina

Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Nickson
18' Event
Joao Souza
27' Event
Davisson
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Leonico in this Baiano 2 matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leonico.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Leonico
15%
Draws
28%
Jacobina
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leonico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jacobina lately — more wins on the board than Leonico.
  • Win probability leans Leonico's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Jacobina have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Leonico Clean Sheet 12%
Jacobina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leonico Jacobina
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 6 7
Draws 6 8
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 1.17 0.84
Goals Conceded 2.34 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2026 Baiano 2
Leonico vs Jacobina
5:2
Jul 2, 2023 Baiano 2
Leonico vs Jacobina
0:2
Mar 16, 2014 Baiano 2
Leonico vs Jacobina
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leonico Compare

Top Goalscorer Nickson
2 Goals
Assists Leader Amaral M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Jacobina Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Souza
1 Goals
Assists Leader Davisson
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leonico 83 / 100
Jacobina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leonico Jacobina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leonico Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Jacobina has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Jacobina's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Leonico's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Leonico VS Jacobina
1 Goals Scored 1.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Leonico

(Home)
05 Jul
Grapiuna
0 : 6
Leonico
19 Jun
Leonico
5 : 2
Jacobina
12 Jun
Leonico
1 : 2
Barreiras
07 Jun
Fluminense de Feira
3 : 0
Leonico
30 May
Leonico
0 : 6
Feira FC
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Jacobina

(Away)
05 Jul
Jacobina
0 : 5
Feira FC
19 Jun
Leonico
5 : 2
Jacobina
13 Jun
Jacobina
0 : 6
Fluminense de Feira
07 Jun
Barreiras
2 : 1
Jacobina
31 May
Jacobina
2 : 0
Camacari
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fluminense de Feira 9 8 1 0 33:5 25
2 SSA 9 7 0 2 19:5 21
3 Barreiras 9 7 0 2 20:8 21
4 Feira FC 9 6 1 2 27:4 19
5 Redencao 9 4 2 3 16:11 14
6 Leonico 9 3 1 5 16:24 10
7 Jacobina 9 2 1 6 9:23 7
8 Grapiuna 9 2 1 6 8:26 7
9 Vitoria da Conquista 9 1 3 5 9:15 6
10 Camacari 9 0 0 9 5:41 0
Promotion - Baiano 2 (Play Offs)