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Leonico vs Jacobina

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2014
Leonico Logo

Leonico

0 - 1
FT
Jacobina Logo

Jacobina

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Baiano 2 2014 game between Leonico and Jacobina finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jacobina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Leonico
15%
Draws
28%
Jacobina
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leonico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Jacobina carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Leonico a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Baiano 2 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Jacobina have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Leonico Clean Sheet 12%
Jacobina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leonico Jacobina
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 6 7
Draws 6 8
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 1.17 0.84
Goals Conceded 2.34 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2026 Baiano 2
Leonico vs Jacobina
5:2
Jul 2, 2023 Baiano 2
Leonico vs Jacobina
0:2
Mar 16, 2014 Baiano 2
Leonico vs Jacobina
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leonico 83 / 100
Jacobina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leonico Jacobina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leonico Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

Jacobina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Difficult form: Jacobina registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Leonico's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Leonico VS Jacobina
1 Goals Scored 1.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Leonico

(Home)
05 Jul
Grapiuna
0 : 6
Leonico
19 Jun
Leonico
5 : 2
Jacobina
12 Jun
Leonico
1 : 2
Barreiras
07 Jun
Fluminense de Feira
3 : 0
Leonico
30 May
Leonico
0 : 6
Feira FC
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Jacobina

(Away)
05 Jul
Jacobina
0 : 5
Feira FC
19 Jun
Leonico
5 : 2
Jacobina
13 Jun
Jacobina
0 : 6
Fluminense de Feira
07 Jun
Barreiras
2 : 1
Jacobina
31 May
Jacobina
2 : 0
Camacari
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colo Colo 9 7 2 0 19:1 23
2 Jacobina 9 6 2 1 15:4 20
3 CE Flamengo 9 6 2 1 22:12 20
4 Alagoinhas 9 5 1 3 18:12 16
5 Itabuna 9 4 0 5 13:11 12
6 Fluminense de Feira 9 3 3 3 8:10 12
7 EC Ypiranga 9 3 2 4 14:12 11
8 Jequie 9 3 2 4 12:13 11
9 Leonico 9 0 1 8 7:22 1
10 Ipitanga 9 0 1 8 4:35 1
Promotion - Baiano 2 2014 (Play Offs)