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Leopard vs AS Penarol

Republic of the Congo Republic of the Congo

Ligue 1 2024/2025 Stade Omnisport Marien Ngouabi d'Owando, Owando
Sun, Jan 26, 2025
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Leopard host AS Penarol in the Ligue 1 2024/2025. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. AS Penarol have shipped 2.57 goals a game lately, while Leopard have conceded 1 and scored 0.85. Head-to-head, Leopard have won 0 to AS Penarol's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 26, 2025, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 0.56, favoring Leopard. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Leopard
35%
Draws
26%
AS Penarol
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Leopard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Leopard carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Leopard's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Leopard Clean Sheet 20%
AS Penarol Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leopard AS Penarol
Matches Played 13 7
Wins 3 1
Draws 5 1
Losses 5 5
Goals Scored 0.85 0.71
Goals Conceded 1 2.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2025 Ligue 1
Leopard vs AS Penarol
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leopard 67 / 100
AS Penarol 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leopard AS Penarol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leopard Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AS Penarol let in goals in 86% of their last 7 matches.

Solid form: Leopard remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: AS Penarol has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Leopard scored in 46% of their last 13 outings.

Scoring Trends

Leopard VS AS Penarol
0 Goals Scored 0
0.13 Goals Conceded 0
0% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Leopard

(Home)
27 Sept
Associacao Black Bulls
1 : 0
Leopard
21 Sept
Leopard
0 : 0
Associacao Black Bulls
23 Mar
Nathalys
1 : 2
Leopard
15 Mar
ACJM
0 : 0
Leopard
08 Mar
Nico-Nicoye
1 : 1
Leopard
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AS Penarol

(Away)
21 Mar
Otoho d'Oyo
5 : 0
AS Penarol
16 Mar
AS Penarol
1 : 3
JS Talangai
12 Mar
Inter Club
3 : 0
AS Penarol
07 Mar
Racine
0 : 0
AS Penarol
02 Mar
AS Penarol
3 : 1
Juk
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