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Leopards vs APS Bomet

Kenya Kenya

Premier League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

84' Event
Wasai P.
90' Event
Koloti R.
90' Event
Bebeto R.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Leopards and APS Bomet finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leopards.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Leopards
15%
Draws
50%
APS Bomet
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: APS Bomet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Leopards come out ahead of APS Bomet on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans APS Bomet's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Leopards Clean Sheet 24%
APS Bomet Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leopards APS Bomet
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 10
Draws 4 11
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.3 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.8 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Premier League
APS Bomet vs Leopards
2:1
Jan 17, 2026 Premier League
Leopards vs APS Bomet
2:1
Mar 4, 2023 Premier League
Leopards vs APS Bomet
0:0
Oct 22, 2022 Premier League
APS Bomet vs Leopards
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leopards Compare

Top Goalscorer Koloti R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bebeto R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

APS Bomet Compare

Top Goalscorer Wasai P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leopards 25 / 100
APS Bomet 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leopards APS Bomet

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick APS Bomet Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Leopards scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Leopards went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

APS Bomet has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Leopards VS APS Bomet
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Leopards

(Home)
31 May
Leopards
1 : 2
Bidco United
24 May
APS Bomet
2 : 1
Leopards
16 May
Kakamega Homeboyz
1 : 2
Leopards
13 May
Ulinzi Stars
0 : 2
Leopards
09 May
Leopards
2 : 1
Mara Sugar
Page 1 of 6

APS Bomet

(Away)
31 May
Tusker
1 : 1
APS Bomet
24 May
APS Bomet
2 : 1
Leopards
20 May
Bandari
0 : 2
APS Bomet
10 May
Mathare United
0 : 2
APS Bomet
06 May
APS Bomet
1 : 0
KCB
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mahia 34 20 9 5 50:22 69
2 Leopards 34 19 7 8 44:28 64
3 Police FC 34 13 16 5 31:21 55
4 Nairobi United 34 14 11 9 44:34 53
5 Shabana 34 14 10 10 35:34 52
6 Kakamega Homeboyz 34 12 13 9 47:37 49
7 KCB 34 13 9 12 36:37 48
8 Muranga 34 13 8 13 42:41 47
9 Tusker 34 13 6 15 27:32 45
10 APS Bomet 34 11 11 12 37:35 44
11 Mara Sugar 34 10 14 10 30:30 44
12 Bandari 34 9 17 8 26:26 44
13 Ulinzi Stars 34 11 8 15 34:37 41
14 Mathare United 34 11 8 15 31:35 41
15 Posta Rangers 34 9 13 12 31:40 40
16 Kariobangi Sharks 34 8 14 12 30:33 38
17 Bidco United 34 5 12 17 19:40 27
18 Sofapaka 34 3 10 21 19:51 19
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Super League 2026/2027 (Main)