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Leopards vs Bidco United

Kenya Kenya

Premier League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Otieno V.
83' Event
Kinyili V.
89' Event
Ochieng A.

AI Match Summary

Bidco United in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bidco United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Leopards
15%
Draws
26%
Bidco United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leopards

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Bidco United haven't matched Leopards's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Leopards a 59% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Leopards Clean Sheet 68%
Bidco United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leopards Bidco United
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 17 3
Draws 3 11
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.33 0.53
Goals Conceded 0.78 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Premier League
Leopards vs Bidco United
1:2
Dec 23, 2025 Premier League
Bidco United vs Leopards
0:1
Apr 26, 2025 Premier League
Leopards vs Bidco United
3:1
Sep 21, 2024 Premier League
Bidco United vs Leopards
0:1
May 19, 2024 Premier League
Leopards vs Bidco United
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leopards Compare

Top Goalscorer Otieno V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Bidco United Compare

Top Goalscorer Kinyili V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ochieng A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leopards 68 / 100
Bidco United 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leopards Bidco United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leopards Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leopards found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (27 games).

Bidco United let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Leopards went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leopards VS Bidco United
1.25 Goals Scored 0.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Leopards

(Home)
22 Aug
Leopards
1 : 0
Kampala City
31 May
Leopards
1 : 2
Bidco United
24 May
APS Bomet
2 : 1
Leopards
16 May
Kakamega Homeboyz
1 : 2
Leopards
13 May
Ulinzi Stars
0 : 2
Leopards
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Bidco United

(Away)
31 May
Leopards
1 : 2
Bidco United
24 May
Bidco United
0 : 2
Muranga
17 May
Bidco United
0 : 1
Shabana
10 May
Tusker
2 : 0
Bidco United
03 May
Bidco United
0 : 0
Kariobangi Sharks
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mahia 34 20 9 5 50:22 69
2 Leopards 34 19 7 8 44:28 64
3 Police FC 34 13 16 5 31:21 55
4 Nairobi United 34 14 11 9 44:34 53
5 Shabana 34 14 10 10 35:34 52
6 Kakamega Homeboyz 34 12 13 9 47:37 49
7 KCB 34 13 9 12 36:37 48
8 Muranga 34 13 8 13 42:41 47
9 Tusker 34 13 6 15 27:32 45
10 APS Bomet 34 11 11 12 37:35 44
11 Mara Sugar 34 10 14 10 30:30 44
12 Bandari 34 9 17 8 26:26 44
13 Ulinzi Stars 34 11 8 15 34:37 41
14 Mathare United 34 11 8 15 31:35 41
15 Posta Rangers 34 9 13 12 31:40 40
16 Kariobangi Sharks 34 8 14 12 30:33 38
17 Bidco United 34 5 12 17 19:40 27
18 Sofapaka 34 3 10 21 19:51 19
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Super League 2026/2027 (Main)