Sport Picks
Leopards vs Kariobangi Sharks Prediction & H2H Stats
Kenya
Premier League 
Match Events
58'
58'
Otieno T.
AI Match Summary
Leopards in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leopards.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
30%
35%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Leopards have won more games recently than Kariobangi Sharks.
- Win probability leans Kariobangi Sharks's way, sitting at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 14.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Leopards Clean Sheet 16%
Kariobangi Sharks Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Leopards | Kariobangi Sharks |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 7 |
| Draws | 3 | 12 |
| Losses | 7 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.35 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.81 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.78 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 29, 2026 Premier League
Leopards vs Kariobangi Sharks
1:0
Nov 23, 2025 Premier League
Kariobangi Sharks vs Leopards
1:1
Feb 9, 2025 Premier League
Leopards vs Kariobangi Sharks
0:0
Oct 20, 2024 Premier League
Kariobangi Sharks vs Leopards
1:1
Jun 29, 2024 FKF Mozzart Bet Cup
Kariobangi Sharks vs Leopards
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Leopards Compare
Top Goalscorer Otieno T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.6
Avg xA / game 0.39
Kariobangi Sharks Compare
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.82
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Leopards 19 / 100
Kariobangi Sharks 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Leopards Kariobangi Sharks
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kariobangi Sharks Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Leopards scored in 77% of their last 26 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Leopards remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Kariobangi Sharks's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Leopards VS Kariobangi Sharks
1.13 Goals Scored 1.71
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.43
75% Over 1.5 57%
63% Over 2.5 29%
0% Over 3.5 29%
Recent Form & Match History
Leopards
(Home) 22 Aug
Leopards
1 : 0 Kampala City
31 May
Leopards
1 : 2 Bidco United
24 May
APS Bomet
2 : 1 Leopards
16 May
Kakamega Homeboyz
1 : 2 Leopards
13 May
Ulinzi Stars
0 : 2 Leopards
Page 1 of 6
22 Aug
Leopards
1 : 0 Kampala City
31 May
Leopards
1 : 2 Bidco United
09 May
Leopards
2 : 1 Mara Sugar
26 Apr
Leopards
0 : 1 Mahia
18 Apr
Leopards
0 : 3 Police FC
Page 1 of 3
Kariobangi Sharks
(Away) 31 May
Kariobangi Sharks
6 : 0 Sofapaka
27 May
Police FC
1 : 1 Kariobangi Sharks
23 May
Kariobangi Sharks
2 : 2 Kakamega Homeboyz
10 May
Kariobangi Sharks
2 : 0 Nairobi United
03 May
Bidco United
0 : 0 Kariobangi Sharks
Page 1 of 6
27 May
Police FC
1 : 1 Kariobangi Sharks
03 May
Bidco United
0 : 0 Kariobangi Sharks
10 Apr
Tusker
1 : 0 Kariobangi Sharks
04 Apr
Mahia
0 : 0 Kariobangi Sharks
29 Mar
Leopards
1 : 0 Kariobangi Sharks
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mahia | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 50:22 | 69 |
| 2 | Leopards | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 44:28 | 64 |
| 3 | Police FC | 34 | 13 | 16 | 5 | 31:21 | 55 |
| 4 | Nairobi United | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44:34 | 53 |
| 5 | Shabana | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:34 | 52 |
| 6 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 47:37 | 49 |
| 7 | KCB | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 36:37 | 48 |
| 8 | Muranga | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42:41 | 47 |
| 9 | Tusker | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 27:32 | 45 |
| 10 | APS Bomet | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 37:35 | 44 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 30:30 | 44 |
| 12 | Bandari | 34 | 9 | 17 | 8 | 26:26 | 44 |
| 13 | Ulinzi Stars | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 34:37 | 41 |
| 14 | Mathare United | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31:35 | 41 |
| 15 | Posta Rangers | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 31:40 | 40 |
| 16 | Kariobangi Sharks | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 30:33 | 38 |
| 17 | Bidco United | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 19:40 | 27 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 34 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 19:51 | 19 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - Super League 2026/2027 (Main)
