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Leopards vs Kariobangi Sharks

Kenya Kenya

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Otieno T.

AI Match Summary

Leopards in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leopards.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Leopards
17%
Draws
70%
Kariobangi Sharks
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Kariobangi Sharks

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Leopards have won more games recently than Kariobangi Sharks.
  • Win probability leans Kariobangi Sharks's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Leopards Clean Sheet 29%
Kariobangi Sharks Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leopards Kariobangi Sharks
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 7
Draws 4 12
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.25 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Premier League
Leopards vs Kariobangi Sharks
1:0
Nov 23, 2025 Premier League
Kariobangi Sharks vs Leopards
1:1
Feb 9, 2025 Premier League
Leopards vs Kariobangi Sharks
0:0
Oct 20, 2024 Premier League
Kariobangi Sharks vs Leopards
1:1
Jun 29, 2024 FKF Mozzart Bet Cup
Kariobangi Sharks vs Leopards
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leopards Compare

Top Goalscorer Otieno T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Kariobangi Sharks Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leopards 18 / 100
Kariobangi Sharks 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leopards Kariobangi Sharks

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Leopards scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Kariobangi Sharks's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Leopards stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leopards VS Kariobangi Sharks
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Leopards

(Home)
31 May
Leopards
1 : 2
Bidco United
24 May
APS Bomet
2 : 1
Leopards
16 May
Kakamega Homeboyz
1 : 2
Leopards
13 May
Ulinzi Stars
0 : 2
Leopards
09 May
Leopards
2 : 1
Mara Sugar
Page 1 of 6

Kariobangi Sharks

(Away)
31 May
Kariobangi Sharks
6 : 0
Sofapaka
27 May
Police FC
1 : 1
Kariobangi Sharks
23 May
Kariobangi Sharks
2 : 2
Kakamega Homeboyz
10 May
Kariobangi Sharks
2 : 0
Nairobi United
03 May
Bidco United
0 : 0
Kariobangi Sharks
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mahia34209550:2269
2Leopards34197844:2864
3Police FC341316531:2155
4Nairobi United341411944:3453
5Shabana3414101035:3452
6Kakamega Homeboyz341213947:3749
7KCB341391236:3748
8Muranga341381342:4147
9Tusker341361527:3245
10APS Bomet3411111237:3544
11Mara Sugar3410141030:3044
12Bandari34917826:2644
13Ulinzi Stars341181534:3741
14Mathare United341181531:3541
15Posta Rangers349131231:4040
16Kariobangi Sharks348141230:3338
17Bidco United345121719:4027
18Sofapaka343102119:5119
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Super League 2026/2027 (Main)