Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Leotar vs Kozara

Bosnia and Herzegovina Bosnia and Herzegovina

Prva Liga - RS
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Leotar play Kozara in the Prva Liga - RS. It looks like a close match. Recently, Leotar averaged 1.38 goals scored and 0.62 conceded. Kozara averaged 1 goals scored and 1.28 conceded. In past meetings, Leotar won 2, Kozara won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 2, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Leotar and 0.51 for Kozara. This points to a Leotar double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Leotar
35%
Draws
27%
Kozara
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Leotar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Leotar picked up more points recently compared to Kozara.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 0.51 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 62%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Over 3.5 Goals 18%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Leotar Clean Sheet 30%
Kozara Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 56%
Second Half Goal 59%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leotar Kozara
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 13 6
Losses 3 12
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 0.62 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.13 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Prva Liga - RS
Leotar vs Kozara
2:0
Nov 16, 2025 Prva Liga - RS
Leotar vs Kozara
1:0
Aug 27, 2025 Prva Liga - RS
Kozara vs Leotar
2:2
Apr 23, 2025 Prva Liga - RS
Leotar vs Kozara
0:1
Sep 18, 2024 Prva Liga - RS
Kozara vs Leotar
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leotar Compare

Top Goalscorer Disic N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Kozara Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leotar 40 / 100
Kozara 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leotar Kozara

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Leotar or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +25.1%
4.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Leotar attacking → ← attacking Kozara

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leotar scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Kozara let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Leotar went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Kozara lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

52 Points in last 5 39
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Laktasi24146445:1648
2BSK Banja Luka24145538:1947
3Leotar241210237:1546
4Kozara24106824:2536
5Slavija2498728:2335
6Zvornik241041036:2034
7Zvijezda 0924861023:3130
8Sutjeska Foca24851131:3429
9Romanija Pale24841224:3128
10Nevesinje24831327:4127
11Famos Vojkovici24761122:4027
12Omarska24741325:4825
13Vlasenica24471314:3119
14Sloboda Novi Grad00000:00