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LePa vs Gnistan

Finland Finland

Kakkonen South 2000
LePa Logo

LePa

2 - 2
FT
Gnistan Logo

Gnistan

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Kakkonen South 2000 game between LePa and Gnistan finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
LePa
30%
Draws
42%
Gnistan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gnistan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Gnistan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
LePa Clean Sheet 16%
Gnistan Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric LePa Gnistan
Matches Played 31 35
Wins 11 17
Draws 8 9
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.71 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2000 Kakkonen South
Gnistan vs LePa
4:0
May 13, 2000 Kakkonen South
LePa vs Gnistan
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

LePa 31 / 100
Gnistan 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
LePa Gnistan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gnistan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: LePa scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Gnistan conceded in 77% of 35 recent games.

Solid form: LePa remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Gnistan
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

LePa

(Home)
15 Apr
LePa
1 : 4
Honka
16 Apr
LePa
1 : 3
EPS
03 Oct
LePa
0 : 2
PEPO
29 Sept
LePa
5 : 0
Mariehamn
22 Sept
Malmin Ponnistajat
1 : 3
LePa
Page 1 of 7

Gnistan

(Away)
18 Sept
Gnistan
1 : 1
HJK
12 Sept
AC Oulu
1 : 2
Gnistan
08 Sept
Gnistan
1 : 1
KuPS
31 Aug
Gnistan
1 : 1
TPS
23 Aug
HJK
2 : 3
Gnistan
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gnistan 22 16 5 1 52:21 53
2 Vantaa 22 15 3 4 60:26 48
3 Pallo-Sepot 44 22 11 7 4 39:30 40
4 KaPa 22 11 6 5 56:29 39
5 Kiffen 22 9 8 5 48:30 35
6 PP-70 Tampere 22 9 5 8 41:39 32
7 LePa 22 8 7 7 40:38 31
8 Hyvinkaan Palloseura (HyPS) 22 6 7 9 40:49 25
9 Lahden Tyovaen Palloilijat 22 7 1 14 35:52 22
10 Kerkkoon Urheilijat 22 4 5 13 36:55 17
11 TKT Tamperre 22 3 4 15 29:72 13
12 LoPa 22 2 4 16 21:56 10
Promotion - Ykkonen 2001 (Main)
Promotion - Kakkonen Promotion Play Offs 2000 (Main)