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Lepel vs FK Smolevichi

Belarus Belarus

Belarusian Cup 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Stryzheus A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with FK Smolevichi advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Lepel
6%
Draws
4%
FK Smolevichi
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Lepel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Lepel haven't matched FK Smolevichi's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Lepel taking it.
  • FK Smolevichi arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor FK Smolevichi, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Lepel Clean Sheet 20%
FK Smolevichi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lepel FK Smolevichi
Matches Played 1 29
Wins 0 4
Draws 0 3
Losses 1 22
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 1 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 3.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2021 Belarusian Cup
Lepel vs FK Smolevichi
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lepel 85 / 100
FK Smolevichi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lepel FK Smolevichi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Smolevichi let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Away concern: FK Smolevichi has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Lepel scored in 0% of their last 1 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Lepel VS FK Smolevichi
0 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 3.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Lepel

(Home)
30 May
Lepel
0 : 1
FK Smolevichi

FK Smolevichi

(Away)
23 Jun
FK Smolevichi
1 : 3
Vitebsk
30 May
Lepel
0 : 1
FK Smolevichi
24 Apr
FK Smolevichi
2 : 5
Uzda
22 Nov
FK Smolevichi
0 : 3
Slavia Mozyr
07 Nov
FK Smolevichi
1 : 4
Neman
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Osipovichi1
Molodechno2
TBD-
SKA-1938 Minsk-
Krumkachy-
TBD-
TBD-
Neman-
FK Cementnik0
Partizan Salihorsk3
TBD-
Sputnik-
Kronon Stolbtsy1
Dnepr Mogilev4
TBD-
FC Minsk-
ML Vitebsk2
Volna Pinsk4
TBD-
Slavia Mozyr-
Ostrovets1
FK Baranovici2
TBD-
BATE-
Stanles Pinsk3
FC Slonim2
TBD-
Zhodino-
Senno1
Lokomotiv Gomel6
TBD-
Isloch Minsk-
Brest Malorita11
Kostyukovichy0
TBD-
Slutsk-
Grodnensky1
FK Lida6
TBD-
Din. Minsk-
Leskhoz1
Uzda2
TBD-
Shakhtyor Soligorsk-
Stroitel Kapyl0
Orsha4
TBD-
FC Gomel-
Lepel0
FK Smolevichi1
TBD-
Vitebsk-
Ivatsevichi0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk5
TBD-
Smorgon-
Gazovik Vitebsk1
Naftan8
TBD-
Dynamo Brest-
FK Kobrin0
Belshina3
TBD-
Rukh Brest-
1/16-finals
Molodechno0
SKA-1938 Minsk4
Krumkachy1
Neman2
Partizan Salihorsk2
Sputnik3
Dnepr Mogilev2
FC Minsk1
Volna Pinsk0
Slavia Mozyr1
FK Baranovici1
BATE6
Stanles Pinsk0
Zhodino2
Lokomotiv Gomel4
Isloch Minsk3
Brest Malorita1
Slutsk2
FK Lida0
Din. Minsk3
Uzda0
Shakhtyor Soligorsk3
Orsha2
FC Gomel6
FK Smolevichi1
Vitebsk3
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk2
Smorgon1
Naftan2
Dynamo Brest3
Belshina1
Rukh Brest3
1/8-finals
SKA-1938 Minsk0
Neman4
Sputnik-
Dnepr Mogilev-
Slavia Mozyr1
BATE2
Zhodino1
Lokomotiv Gomel0
Slutsk0
Din. Minsk4
Shakhtyor Soligorsk1
FC Gomel2
Vitebsk1
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk0
Dynamo Brest2
Rukh Brest0
Quarter-finals
Neman3
Dnepr Mogilev0
BATE2
Zhodino1
Din. Minsk2
FC Gomel4
Vitebsk2
Dynamo Brest1
Semi-finals
Neman2
BATE3
FC Gomel2
Vitebsk1
Final
BATE1
FC Gomel2