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Lerines vs Ezcabarte Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Villafane Molina S.
30' Event
Garcia E.
49' Event
Moreno J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024 game between Lerines and Ezcabarte finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Lerines
35%
Draws
37%
Ezcabarte
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ezcabarte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ezcabarte come out ahead of Lerines on wins alone.
  • Model gives Ezcabarte a 37% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Lerines Clean Sheet 19%
Ezcabarte Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lerines Ezcabarte
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 7 11
Draws 7 12
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.07 1.51
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Lerines vs Ezcabarte
2:2
Jan 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Ezcabarte vs Lerines
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lerines Compare

Top Goalscorer Villafane Molina S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Ezcabarte Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreno J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lerines 20 / 100
Ezcabarte 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lerines Ezcabarte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ezcabarte Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ezcabarte's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 35 matches.

Lerines found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Lerines went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ezcabarte
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lerines

(Home)
11 May
Lerines
1 : 1
CD Beti Onak
04 May
Alesves
1 : 3
Lerines
01 May
Lerines
2 : 2
Ezcabarte
27 Apr
Beti Kozkor
2 : 0
Lerines
20 Apr
Lerines
4 : 4
Pena
Page 1 of 6

Ezcabarte

(Away)
03 Oct
Ezcabarte
4 : 1
CD Cantolagua
26 Sept
Mutilvera
1 : 0
Ezcabarte
19 Sept
Ezcabarte
1 : 1
Subiza
12 Sept
CD Beti Onak
1 : 1
Ezcabarte
05 Sept
Ezcabarte
4 : 0
Txantrea
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Subiza 34 20 8 6 68:29 68
2 Cortes 34 17 12 5 40:23 63
3 CD Ardoi 34 18 8 8 49:23 62
4 Pena 34 14 15 5 53:39 57
5 Huarte 34 16 6 12 51:47 54
6 CD Cantolagua 34 15 9 10 55:45 54
7 CD Beti Onak 34 15 5 14 47:50 50
8 Cirbonero 34 12 8 14 46:49 44
9 Txantrea 34 11 9 14 34:36 42
10 Pamplona 34 10 12 12 45:45 42
11 Beti Kozkor 34 11 9 14 35:43 42
12 Bidezarra 34 9 15 10 42:38 42
13 Burlades 34 11 8 15 35:47 41
14 Oberena 34 11 7 16 43:49 40
15 Ezcabarte 34 10 10 14 42:51 40
16 Lagunak 34 8 10 16 35:52 34
17 Lerines 34 9 7 18 34:59 34
18 Alesves 34 7 6 21 34:63 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024 (Play Offs)