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Lerines vs Txantrea Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Aranda I.
27' Event
Esparza U.
85' Event
Sanchez C.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024 game between Lerines and Txantrea finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lerines.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Lerines
35%
Draws
30%
Txantrea
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Txantrea come out ahead of Lerines on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Lerines's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Lerines Clean Sheet 68%
Txantrea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lerines Txantrea
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 7 14
Draws 7 9
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.07 1.49
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Lerines vs Txantrea
2:1
Oct 14, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Txantrea vs Lerines
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lerines Compare

Top Goalscorer Esparza U.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sanchez C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Txantrea Compare

Top Goalscorer Aranda I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lerines 68 / 100
Txantrea 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lerines Txantrea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lerines Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Txantrea has conceded goals in 85% of their last 39 outings.

Lerines found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Lerines went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Txantrea
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lerines

(Home)
11 May
Lerines
1 : 1
CD Beti Onak
04 May
Alesves
1 : 3
Lerines
01 May
Lerines
2 : 2
Ezcabarte
27 Apr
Beti Kozkor
2 : 0
Lerines
20 Apr
Lerines
4 : 4
Pena
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Txantrea

(Away)
03 Oct
Beti Kozkor
2 : 0
Txantrea
26 Sept
Txantrea
2 : 2
Bidezarra
19 Sept
AD San Juan
0 : 1
Txantrea
12 Sept
Txantrea
1 : 1
Cirbonero
05 Sept
Ezcabarte
4 : 0
Txantrea
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Subiza 34 20 8 6 68:29 68
2 Cortes 34 17 12 5 40:23 63
3 CD Ardoi 34 18 8 8 49:23 62
4 Pena 34 14 15 5 53:39 57
5 Huarte 34 16 6 12 51:47 54
6 CD Cantolagua 34 15 9 10 55:45 54
7 CD Beti Onak 34 15 5 14 47:50 50
8 Cirbonero 34 12 8 14 46:49 44
9 Txantrea 34 11 9 14 34:36 42
10 Pamplona 34 10 12 12 45:45 42
11 Beti Kozkor 34 11 9 14 35:43 42
12 Bidezarra 34 9 15 10 42:38 42
13 Burlades 34 11 8 15 35:47 41
14 Oberena 34 11 7 16 43:49 40
15 Ezcabarte 34 10 10 14 42:51 40
16 Lagunak 34 8 10 16 35:52 34
17 Lerines 34 9 7 18 34:59 34
18 Alesves 34 7 6 21 34:63 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024 (Play Offs)