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Leruma United vs Baroka

South Africa South Africa

Motsepe Foundation Championship 2024/2025
Leruma United Logo

Leruma United

0 - 0
FT
Baroka Logo

Baroka

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Motsepe Foundation Championship 2024/2025 game between Leruma United and Baroka finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Leruma United
35%
Draws
26%
Baroka
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Leruma United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Leruma United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Leruma United are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Motsepe Foundation Championship 2024/2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 15%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Leruma United Clean Sheet 68%
Baroka Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leruma United Baroka
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 5
Draws 9 9
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 0.67 0.69
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2025 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Leruma United vs Baroka
0:0
Nov 9, 2024 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Baroka vs Leruma United
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leruma United 95 / 100
Baroka 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leruma United Baroka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leruma United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Baroka conceded in 81% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Leruma United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Baroka registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Baroka
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Leruma United

(Home)
18 May
Orbit College
0 : 0
Leruma United
11 May
Leruma United
1 : 1
Milford
03 May
Kruger United
1 : 0
Leruma United
26 Apr
Leruma United
1 : 1
Pretoria U.
23 Apr
Leruma United
1 : 2
Venda
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Baroka

(Away)
17 May
Baroka
0 : 0
Upington City
10 May
Cape Town City
1 : 0
Baroka
01 May
Real Native
2 : 0
Baroka
26 Apr
Baroka
0 : 3
Kruger United
22 Apr
Baroka
1 : 1
Gomora United
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Durban City 30 17 7 6 44:23 58
2 Orbit College 30 14 11 5 33:19 53
3 Real Native 30 13 9 8 38:29 48
4 Black Leopards 30 13 8 9 43:36 47
5 Kruger United 30 12 9 9 34:31 45
6 Milford 30 12 7 11 35:37 43
7 JDR Stars 30 11 10 9 30:33 43
8 Baroka 30 10 11 9 41:43 41
9 Highbury 30 10 8 12 29:28 38
10 Pretoria U. 30 9 11 10 27:31 38
11 Pretoria Callies 30 10 6 14 23:36 36
12 Upington City 30 8 11 11 28:30 35
13 Hungry Lions 30 8 9 13 35:35 33
14 Venda 30 7 10 13 30:34 31
15 Cape Town Spurs 30 6 12 12 24:30 30
16 Leruma United 30 6 9 15 20:39 27
Promotion - Betway Premiership 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Betway Premiership 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)