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Les Herbiers vs Balma

France France

CFA - Group C 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The CFA - Group C 2009/2010 game between Les Herbiers and Balma finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Les Herbiers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Les Herbiers
30%
Draws
31%
Balma
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Les Herbiers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Les Herbiers carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Les Herbiers's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Les Herbiers Clean Sheet 19%
Balma Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Les Herbiers Balma
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 20 4
Draws 7 8
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 1.68 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 11, 2017 Coupe de France
Balma vs Les Herbiers
0:3
May 29, 2010 National 1 - Group C
Les Herbiers vs Balma
3:1
Aug 8, 2009 National 1 - Group C
Balma vs Les Herbiers
1:1
Feb 3, 2007 National 1 - Group C
Les Herbiers vs Balma
2:2
Aug 19, 2006 National 1 - Group C
Balma vs Les Herbiers
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Les Herbiers 67 / 100
Balma 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Les Herbiers Balma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Les Herbiers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Balma conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Les Herbiers scored in 78% of their last 40 outings.

Les Herbiers went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Les Herbiers VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Les Herbiers

(Home)
22 Jul
Angers
3 : 1
Les Herbiers
16 May
Les Herbiers
3 : 0
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
09 May
Bordeaux
1 : 0
Les Herbiers
02 May
Les Herbiers
3 : 3
Avranches
24 Apr
Les Herbiers
2 : 2
Granville
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Balma

(Away)
11 Aug
Balma
2 : 2
Bergerac
11 Nov
Balma
0 : 3
Les Herbiers
03 Dec
Balma
0 : 3
Bergerac
12 Nov
Balma
3 : 0
Luc Primaube
15 Nov
Genets
1 : 0
Balma
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Niort 34 18 11 5 53:23 99
2 Moulins-Yzeure 34 16 10 8 39:29 92
3 Lucon 34 15 11 8 45:39 90
4 PSG II 34 13 15 6 37:28 88
5 Albi 34 14 12 8 42:40 88
6 Montlucon 34 14 10 10 45:36 86
7 Colomiers 34 13 9 12 33:29 82
8 Les Herbiers 34 12 13 9 48:44 82
9 Libourne 34 10 14 10 35:31 78
10 Le Mans II 34 10 14 10 42:35 78
11 Red Star 34 11 9 14 38:44 76
12 Pau 34 9 12 13 30:35 73
13 Aurillac 34 8 14 12 26:40 72
14 Fontenay 34 6 18 10 31:41 70
15 Genets 34 9 9 16 29:42 70
16 Bordeaux II 34 9 11 14 23:32 69
17 Balma 34 6 12 16 28:42 64
18 Toulouse Fontaines Club 34 6 10 18 25:39 62
Promotion - National 2010/2011 (Main)