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Les Herbiers vs Chauray

France France

National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 Stade Massabielle, Les Herbiers
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Billy J.
45' Event
Kerriou A.
51' Event
Adekalom N.

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 game between Les Herbiers and Chauray finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Les Herbiers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Les Herbiers
30%
Draws
31%
Chauray
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Les Herbiers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Les Herbiers come out ahead of Chauray on wins alone.
  • Les Herbiers are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Les Herbiers Clean Sheet 68%
Chauray Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Les Herbiers Chauray
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 11
Draws 4 4
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.62 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Les Herbiers vs Chauray
3:1
Oct 3, 2025 National 1 - Group A
Chauray vs Les Herbiers
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Les Herbiers Compare

Top Goalscorer Billy J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kerriou A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Chauray Compare

Top Goalscorer Toure S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Les Herbiers 68 / 100
Chauray 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Les Herbiers Chauray

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Les Herbiers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Les Herbiers scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Chauray's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Les Herbiers went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Les Herbiers VS Chauray
2 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Les Herbiers

(Home)
22 Jul
Angers
3 : 1
Les Herbiers
16 May
Les Herbiers
3 : 0
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
09 May
Bordeaux
1 : 0
Les Herbiers
02 May
Les Herbiers
3 : 3
Avranches
24 Apr
Les Herbiers
2 : 2
Granville
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Chauray

(Away)
16 May
Chauray
0 : 1
Granville
09 May
La Roche Vendee
4 : 1
Chauray
02 May
Chauray
2 : 1
Stade Poitevin
24 Apr
Angouleme CFC
2 : 2
Chauray
17 Apr
Chauray
0 : 1
Saint-Malo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 30 19 8 3 61:27 65
2 Bordeaux 30 19 5 6 51:28 62
3 Bayonne 30 17 4 9 42:27 55
4 Saint-Malo 30 13 11 6 43:29 50
5 Les Herbiers 30 14 7 9 45:33 49
6 Angouleme CFC 30 11 10 9 33:36 43
7 Dinan 30 12 5 13 44:45 41
8 Avranches 30 10 10 10 46:41 40
9 Chauray 30 11 5 14 35:38 38
10 St. Colomban Locmine 30 9 10 11 31:34 37
11 Montlouis 30 7 10 13 42:50 31
12 Lorient II 30 9 5 16 38:51 31
13 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 30 8 6 16 25:47 30
14 Granville 30 6 11 13 32:41 29
15 Saumur Olympique 30 6 10 14 37:56 28
16 Stade Poitevin 30 5 11 14 21:43 25
Promotion - Ligue 3 (Main)