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Stadium Background

Les Herbiers vs Lorient II

France France

National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 Stade Massabielle, Les Herbiers
Our Tip

Match Events

82' Event
Billy J.

AI Match Summary

Les Herbiers in this National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Les Herbiers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Les Herbiers
15%
Draws
51%
Lorient II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lorient II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Les Herbiers have won more games recently than Lorient II.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Lorient II taking it.
  • Regular National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Les Herbiers Clean Sheet 15%
Lorient II Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Les Herbiers Lorient II
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 10
Draws 5 4
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.48 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Les Herbiers vs Lorient II
1:0
Nov 1, 2025 National 1 - Group A
Lorient II vs Les Herbiers
4:2
Aug 8, 2023 Club Friendly
Les Herbiers vs Lorient II
3:2
Mar 25, 2023 National 2 - Group D
Lorient II vs Les Herbiers
0:1
Oct 21, 2022 National 2 - Group D
Les Herbiers vs Lorient II
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Les Herbiers Compare

Top Goalscorer Billy J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Lorient II Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Les Herbiers 19 / 100
Lorient II 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Les Herbiers Lorient II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lorient II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lorient II let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Les Herbiers's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Lorient II registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Les Herbiers VS Lorient II
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Les Herbiers

(Home)
19 Sept
Les Herbiers
0 : 1
Tarbes
11 Sept
Chauray
1 : 2
Les Herbiers
04 Sept
Les Herbiers
1 : 2
Avranches
29 Aug
Dinan
2 : 0
Les Herbiers
22 Aug
St. Colomban Locmine
1 : 1
Les Herbiers
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Lorient II

(Away)
19 Sept
Lorient II
1 : 2
Le Poire Sur Vie
12 Sept
Pontivy
0 : 3
Lorient II
05 Sept
Lorient II
0 : 1
Bayonne
29 Aug
Tarbes
1 : 0
Lorient II
22 Aug
Lorient II
3 : 1
Chauray
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 30 19 8 3 61:27 65
2 Bordeaux 30 19 5 6 51:28 62
3 Bayonne 30 17 4 9 42:27 55
4 Saint-Malo 30 13 11 6 43:29 50
5 Les Herbiers 30 14 7 9 45:33 49
6 Angouleme CFC 30 11 10 9 33:36 43
7 Dinan 30 12 5 13 44:45 41
8 Avranches 30 10 10 10 46:41 40
9 Chauray 30 11 5 14 35:38 38
10 St. Colomban Locmine 30 9 10 11 31:34 37
11 Montlouis 30 7 10 13 42:50 31
12 Lorient II 30 9 5 16 38:51 31
13 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 30 8 6 16 25:47 30
14 Granville 30 6 11 13 32:41 29
15 Saumur Olympique 30 6 10 14 37:56 28
16 Stade Poitevin 30 5 11 14 21:43 25
Promotion - Ligue 3 (Main)