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Les Herbiers vs Pontivy - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

National 1 - Group B Stade Massabielle, Les Herbiers
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National 1 - Group B matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Les Herbiers
35%
Draws
18%
Pontivy
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Les Herbiers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Les Herbiers lately — more wins on the board than Pontivy.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Les Herbiers taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Les Herbiers Clean Sheet 20%
Pontivy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Les Herbiers Pontivy
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 11 10
Draws 6 9
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.31 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2026 National 1 - Group B
Les Herbiers vs Pontivy
0:0
Jan 31, 2015 National 2 - Group D
Les Herbiers vs Pontivy
0:1
Aug 30, 2014 National 2 - Group D
Pontivy vs Les Herbiers
0:1
May 10, 2014 National 2 - Group D
Pontivy vs Les Herbiers
1:4
Jan 11, 2014 National 2 - Group D
Les Herbiers vs Pontivy
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Les Herbiers 49 / 100
Pontivy 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Les Herbiers Pontivy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Les Herbiers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Les Herbiers's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Pontivy let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Solid form: Les Herbiers remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Les Herbiers VS Pontivy
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Les Herbiers

(Home)
30 Oct
Le Poire Sur Vie
1 : 1
Les Herbiers
17 Oct
Les Herbiers
0 : 0
Pontivy
02 Oct
Bayonne
0 : 1
Les Herbiers
19 Sept
Les Herbiers
0 : 1
Tarbes
11 Sept
Chauray
1 : 2
Les Herbiers
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Pontivy

(Away)
31 Oct
Pontivy
2 : 2
Dinan
17 Oct
Les Herbiers
0 : 0
Pontivy
03 Oct
Pontivy
0 : 1
Angouleme CFC
19 Sept
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
2 : 2
Pontivy
12 Sept
Pontivy
0 : 3
Lorient II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Angouleme CFC 8 6 2 0 13:5 20
2 Avranches 8 5 2 1 13:3 17
3 Bayonne 8 5 1 2 11:8 16
4 Lorient II 8 4 1 3 13:7 13
5 Granville 8 3 3 2 10:10 12
6 Dinan 8 3 3 2 7:7 12
7 Tarbes 8 3 3 2 5:5 12
8 Saint-Malo 8 3 3 2 10:7 12
9 St. Colomban Locmine 8 3 2 3 7:6 11
10 Stade Briochin 8 2 4 2 9:8 10
11 Le Poire Sur Vie 8 3 1 4 10:11 10
12 Les Herbiers 8 2 3 3 6:8 9
13 Saumur Olympique 8 2 1 5 6:12 7
14 Pontivy 8 0 5 3 7:12 5
15 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 8 0 5 3 5:12 5
16 Chauray 8 0 1 7 5:16 1
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)