Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lesotho U17 vs Mauritius U17

Africa Africa

CAF African Championship U17 2017
Fri, Jun 24, 2016
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the CAF African Championship U17 2017. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Lesotho U17 at 1.17 goals for, 1.5 against; Mauritius U17 at 1.1 for, 1.8 against. Past meetings favor Lesotho U17 slightly — 0-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 1, 2016, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.33) point toward Lesotho U17. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Lesotho U17
15%
Draws
57%
Mauritius U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mauritius U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Lesotho U17 haven't matched Mauritius U17's recent run of results.
  • Lesotho U17 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Mauritius U17 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Lesotho U17 Clean Sheet 18%
Mauritius U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lesotho U17 Mauritius U17
Matches Played 6 10
Wins 2 4
Draws 0 0
Losses 4 6
Goals Scored 1.17 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2016 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Mauritius U17 vs Lesotho U17
0:0
Jun 24, 2016 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Lesotho U17 vs Mauritius U17
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lesotho U17 49 / 100
Mauritius U17 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lesotho U17 Mauritius U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lesotho U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mauritius U17's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 9 matches.

Lesotho U17's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 5 recent games.

Mauritius U17 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 0.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Lesotho U17 VS Mauritius U17
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.29 Goals Conceded 1.75
57% Over 1.5 75%
43% Over 2.5 63%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lesotho U17

(Home)
21 Sept
Lesotho U17
0 : 1
Mozambique U20
24 Jun
Lesotho U17
:
Mauritius U17
11 Sept
Cameroon U17
4 : 2
Lesotho U17
29 Aug
Lesotho U17
0 : 3
Cameroon U17
24 Apr
Mozambique U17
0 : 2
Lesotho U17
Page 1 of 2

Mauritius U17

(Away)
20 Aug
Angola U17
3 : 0
Mauritius U17
07 Aug
Mauritius U17
0 : 1
Angola U17
24 Jun
Lesotho U17
:
Mauritius U17
27 Oct
Mali U17
5 : 1
Mauritius U17
13 Oct
Mauritius U17
2 : 1
Mali U17
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Ghana U17 -
Liberia U17 -
TBD -
Burkina Faso U17 -
Benin U17 -
Sierra Leone U17 -
TBD -
Ivory Coast U17 -
Niger U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Nigeria U17 -
Algeria U17 4
Libya U17 4
TBD -
Gabon U17 -
Mali U17 -
TBD -
D.R. Congo U17 -
Chad U17 -
Egypt U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Ethiopia U17 -
Senegal U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Tunisia U17 -
Morocco U17 2
Mauritania U17 1
TBD -
Guinea U17 -
Sudan U17 16
Djibouti U17 0
TBD -
Zambia U17 -
Kenya U17 -
Malawi U17 -
TBD -
Cameroon U17 -
Tanzania U17 9
Seychelles U17 0
TBD -
South Africa U17 -
Namibia U17 2
Botswana U17 2
TBD -
Congo U17 -
Angola U17 -
TBD -
Lesotho U17 -
Mauritius U17 -
Mozambique U17 -
TBD -
Zimbabwe U17 -
Comoros U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
Ghana U17 6
Burkina Faso U17 5
Benin U17 2
Ivory Coast U17 4
Niger U17 3
Nigeria U17 2
Algeria U17 0
Gabon U17 1
Mali U17 12
Chad U17 0
Egypt U17 2
Ethiopia U17 5
Senegal U17 6
Tunisia U17 4
Morocco U17 2
Guinea U17 3
Sudan U17 1
Zambia U17 0
Kenya U17 1
Cameroon U17 9
Tanzania U17 3
South Africa U17 1
Namibia U17 1
Congo U17 5
Angola U17 4
Mauritius U17 0
Mozambique U17 1
Comoros U17 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Ghana U17 3
Ivory Coast U17 1
Niger U17 4
Gabon U17 3
Mali U17 4
Ethiopia U17 1
Senegal U17 1
Guinea U17 2
Sudan U17 5
Cameroon U17 7
Tanzania U17 3
Congo U17 3
Angola U17 7
Comoros U17 0
TBD -
TBD -