Sport Picks
Lesotho U17 vs Mozambique U17
Africa
CAF African Championship U17 2011 
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-1, with Lesotho U17 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mozambique U17
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
26%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Mozambique U17 come out ahead of Lesotho U17 on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Mozambique U17 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Lesotho U17, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 22.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Lesotho U17 Clean Sheet 19%
Mozambique U17 Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lesotho U17 | Mozambique U17 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 6 | 17 |
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 0 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.82 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.01 | 1.30 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 24, 2010 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Mozambique U17 vs Lesotho U17
0:2
Apr 11, 2010 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Lesotho U17 vs Mozambique U17
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lesotho U17 31 / 100
Mozambique U17 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lesotho U17 Mozambique U17
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lesotho U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Mozambique U17 conceded in 94% of 17 recent games.
Lesotho U17 found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (5 games).
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Lesotho U17 stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Lesotho U17 VS Mozambique U17
0.4 Goals Scored 1
1.6 Goals Conceded 1.63
40% Over 1.5 75%
40% Over 2.5 50%
20% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Lesotho U17
(Home) 21 Sept
Lesotho U17
0 : 1 Mozambique U20
24 Jun
Lesotho U17
: Mauritius U17
11 Sept
Cameroon U17
4 : 2 Lesotho U17
29 Aug
Lesotho U17
0 : 3 Cameroon U17
24 Apr
Mozambique U17
0 : 2 Lesotho U17
Page 1 of 2
21 Sept
Lesotho U17
0 : 1 Mozambique U20
24 Jun
Lesotho U17
: Mauritius U17
29 Aug
Lesotho U17
0 : 3 Cameroon U17
11 Apr
Lesotho U17
3 : 1 Mozambique U17
Mozambique U17
(Away) 23 May
Ethiopia U17
1 : 2 Mozambique U17
20 May
Angola U17
1 : 2 Mozambique U17
17 May
Mozambique U17
1 : 1 Mali U17
14 May
Tanzania U17
3 : 0 Mozambique U17
20 Aug
Mozambique U17
0 : 3 Comoros U17
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23 May
Ethiopia U17
1 : 2 Mozambique U17
20 May
Angola U17
1 : 2 Mozambique U17
14 May
Tanzania U17
3 : 0 Mozambique U17
06 Aug
Comoros U17
2 : 1 Mozambique U17
02 Aug
Angola U17
2 : 0 Mozambique U17
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Egypt U17 -
TBD -
Kenya U17 1
Somalia U17 3
Tunisia U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Sudan U17 -
Morocco U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Gambia U17 -
Sierra Leone U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Benin U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Ivory Coast U17 -
Gabon U17 2
Chad U17 2
TBD -
Algeria U17 -
Nigeria U17 -
TBD -
Equatorial Guinea U17 0
Congo U17 4
Ghana U17 -
TBD -
Uganda U17 3
Zambia U17 1
Guinea U17 -
TBD -
Liberia U17 1
Senegal U17 2
Reunion U17 8
Comoros U17 2
TBD -
Angola U17 -
South Africa U17 5
Namibia U17 0
TBD -
Burkina Faso U17 -
Cameroon U17 -
TBD -
Mozambique U17 1
Lesotho U17 5
D.R. Congo U17 2
Ethiopia U17 1
TBD -
Mali U17 -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
Egypt U17 7
Somalia U17 2
Tunisia U17 6
Sudan U17 3
Morocco U17 2
Gambia U17 3
Sierra Leone U17 -
TBD -
Benin U17 1
Ivory Coast U17 1
Gabon U17 2
Algeria U17 1
Nigeria U17 1
Congo U17 3
Ghana U17 3
Zambia U17 2
Guinea U17 4
Senegal U17 4
Reunion U17 5
Angola U17 2
South Africa U17 4
Burkina Faso U17 4
Cameroon U17 7
Lesotho U17 2
D.R. Congo U17 1
Mali U17 6
Final
TBD -
Egypt U17 -
Tunisia U17 3
Gambia U17 3
Sierra Leone U17 2
Ivory Coast U17 4
Gabon U17 4
Congo U17 3
Ghana U17 6
Senegal U17 5
Reunion U17 1
Burkina Faso U17 3
Cameroon U17 0
Mali U17 4
