Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lesotho W vs Mozambique W

Africa Africa

COSAFA Cup Women 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mozambique W in this COSAFA Cup Women 2018 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Lesotho W
15%
Draws
76%
Mozambique W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mozambique W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mozambique W lately — more wins on the board than Lesotho W.
  • 76% — that's where the model lands on Mozambique W taking it.
  • Mozambique W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Mozambique W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Lesotho W Clean Sheet 20%
Mozambique W Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lesotho W Mozambique W
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 1 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 24 10
Goals Scored 0.4 1.07
Goals Conceded 3.03 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2025 Friendly International Women
Lesotho W vs Mozambique W
0:1
Oct 29, 2024 COSAFA Cup Women
Mozambique W vs Lesotho W
1:1
Sep 1, 2024 Friendly International Women
Mozambique W vs Lesotho W
0:0
Aug 31, 2024 Friendly International Women
Mozambique W vs Lesotho W
1:1
Sep 15, 2018 COSAFA Cup Women
Lesotho W vs Mozambique W
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lesotho W 10 / 100
Mozambique W 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lesotho W Mozambique W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mozambique W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mozambique W let in goals in 62% of their last 26 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Lesotho W's goal record stands at 33% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Lesotho W has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lesotho W VS Mozambique W
0.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lesotho W

(Home)
09 Jun
Lesotho W
0 : 6
Kenya W
06 Jun
Zimbabwe W
3 : 1
Lesotho W
24 Feb
South Africa W
1 : 1
Lesotho W
21 Feb
Malawi W
8 : 1
Lesotho W
18 Feb
Lesotho W
1 : 3
Angola W
Page 1 of 6

Mozambique W

(Away)
25 Feb
Mozambique W
2 : 0
Madagascar W
20 Feb
Mozambique W
0 : 2
Namibia W
23 Nov
Eswatini W
0 : 1
Mozambique W
22 Nov
Lesotho W
0 : 1
Mozambique W
31 Oct
South Africa W
2 : 1
Mozambique W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa W 3 3 0 0 9:1 9
2 Botswana W 3 1 1 1 2:1 4
3 Malawi W 3 1 0 2 2:8 3
4 Madagascar W 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zambia W 3 3 0 0 6:0 9
2 Cameroon W 3 2 0 1 14:2 6
3 Mozambique W 3 1 0 2 3:12 3
4 Lesotho W 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uganda W 3 2 1 0 6:4 7
2 Zimbabwe W 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
3 Namibia W 3 1 1 1 4:2 4
4 Eswatini W 3 0 0 3 4:11 0
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women 2018 (Play Offs)