Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lettir vs Ulfarnir

Iceland Iceland

Icelandic Cup 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Kristjansson G.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Lettir advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Lettir
15%
Draws
64%
Ulfarnir
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ulfarnir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Ulfarnir carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Ulfarnir taking it.
  • Ulfarnir arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Lettir, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 92%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 92%
Over 3.5 Goals 73%
Over 4.5 Goals 33%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Lettir Clean Sheet 10%
Ulfarnir Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lettir Ulfarnir
Matches Played 22 19
Wins 7 9
Draws 0 0
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.73 2.11
Goals Conceded 3.77 2.26
Expected Goals (xG) 2.42 3.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2018 Icelandic Cup
Lettir vs Ulfarnir
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lettir Compare

Top Goalscorer Kristjansson G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.86
Avg xA / game 1.21

Ulfarnir Compare

Avg xG / game 2.82
Avg xA / game 1.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lettir 14 / 100
Ulfarnir 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lettir Ulfarnir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ulfarnir Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lettir scored in 73% of their last 22 games.

Ulfarnir's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 19 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Lettir remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lettir VS Ulfarnir
2.33 Goals Scored 1.88
4.33 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
83% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Lettir

(Home)
28 Mar
Lettir
3 : 5
Arbaer
24 Mar
Lettir
7 : 3
Stokkseyri
28 Mar
Lettir
1 : 2
Kria
01 Apr
Lettir
2 : 7
IH Hafnarfjordur
31 Mar
Kari
5 : 0
Lettir
Page 1 of 5

Ulfarnir

(Away)
26 Mar
Grotta
2 : 1
Ulfarnir
10 Mar
Ulfarnir
4 : 2
Hamar
17 Apr
Olafsvik
7 : 1
Ulfarnir
05 Apr
Skallagrimur
1 : 2
Ulfarnir
28 Mar
Ulfarnir
3 : 0
Stokkseyri
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fylkir -
Njardvik 10
KB Breidholt 1
Stokkseyri -
Kordrengir -
Vaengirs 3
Hviti 2
TBD -
Throttur -
Fjolnir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fjallabyggd 6
Nokkvi 0
TBD -
Magni -
Kopavogur -
TBD -
Isbjorninn 0
Alftanes 9
Dalvik/Reynir 2
UMF Geisli 0
TBD -
Thor Akureyri -
Akranes -
TBD -
Snaefell 2
IH Hafnarfjordur 7
Grotta 9
Vatnaliljur 0
TBD -
Selfoss -
Vidir 6
KFS 2
SR Reykjavik 0
Throttur Vogar 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grindavik -
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vestri 18
Kongarnir 2
TBD -
Haukar -
IR Reykjavik 1
Aegir 0
Kormakur/Hvot 0
Augnablik 17
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
Breidablik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KH Hlidarendi 6
Kria 2
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
Afturelding 6
KFR 1
Ymir 2
KV Reykjavik 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiknir Faskruds -
TBD -
Sindri 2
Einherji 5
Keflavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Skallagrimur 2
Stal-Ulfur 0
Berserkir 1
Reynir 5
Hottur 1
Fjardabyggd 0
TBD -
Huginn -
Ellidi 4
Midas 1
Hordur Isafjordur 1
Kari 13
Fram 6
Armann 0
Alafoss 1
GG Grindavik 5
Tindastoll -
TBD -
TBD -
Volsungur -
Hamar 1
Arborg 0
Ulfarnir 0
Lettir 1
KFG Gardabaer 5
Afrika Reykjavik 0
TBD -
Olafsvik -
1/32-finals
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
Fylkir -
Njardvik 2
Kordrengir 0
Vaengirs 0
Throttur 2
Fjolnir -
TBD -
Fjallabyggd 0
Magni 5
Kopavogur 5
Alftanes 0
Dalvik/Reynir 1
Thor Akureyri 3
Akranes 8
IH Hafnarfjordur 0
Grotta 2
Selfoss 3
Vidir 2
Throttur Vogar 1
TBD -
Grindavik -
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
Vestri 1
Haukar 3
IR Reykjavik 1
Augnablik 0
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
Breidablik -
TBD -
KH Hlidarendi 2
Leiknir Reykjavik 3
Afturelding 8
KV Reykjavik 2
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
Leiknir Faskruds 0
Einherji 1
Keflavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
Skallagrimur 0
Reynir 9
Hottur 3
Huginn 0
Ellidi 1
Kari 9
Fram 10
GG Grindavik 0
Tindastoll 1
Volsungur 7
Hamar 1
Lettir 0
KFG Gardabaer 0
Olafsvik 5
1/16-finals
Stjarnan 2
Fylkir 1
Njardvik 2
Throttur 4
Fjolnir 3
Magni 1
Kopavogur 2
Thor Akureyri 3
Akranes 4
Selfoss 1
Vidir 2
Grindavik 4
KA Akureyri 2
Haukar 1
IR Reykjavik 0
Hafnarfjordur 5
Breidablik 3
Leiknir Reykjavik 1
Afturelding 1
KR Reykjavik 7
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4
Einherji 2
Keflavik 0
Valur 2
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Reynir 0
Hottur 2
Kari 5
Fram 2
Volsungur 1
Hamar 3
Olafsvik 5
1/8-finals
Stjarnan 5
Throttur 0
Fjolnir 1
Thor Akureyri 2
Akranes 2
Grindavik 1
KA Akureyri 0
Hafnarfjordur 1
Breidablik 1
KR Reykjavik 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2
Valur 3
Vikingur Reykjavik 4
Kari 3
Fram 0
Olafsvik 1
Quarter-finals
Stjarnan 2
Thor Akureyri 1
Akranes 0
Hafnarfjordur 1
Breidablik 2
Valur 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 0
Olafsvik 1
Semi-finals
Stjarnan 2
Hafnarfjordur 0
Breidablik 3
Olafsvik 2
Final
Stjarnan 1
Breidablik 0