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Leuven B vs Merelbeke - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - VV
Sun, Nov 15, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Leuven B host Merelbeke in the National Division 1 - VV. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Merelbeke have shipped 1.57 goals a game lately, while Leuven B have conceded 2.2 and scored 2.23. Past meetings favor Merelbeke slightly — 1-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 6, 2026, ending 1:3. xG projections (1.69 - 1.44) back Merelbeke to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Leuven B
35%
Draws
32%
Merelbeke
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Leuven B haven't matched Merelbeke's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Leuven B's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Merelbeke here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Leuven B Clean Sheet 16%
Merelbeke Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leuven B Merelbeke
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 2.23 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 National Division 1 - VV
Leuven B vs Merelbeke
1:3
Sep 27, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Merelbeke vs Leuven B
2:1
Feb 9, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Merelbeke vs Leuven B
2:1
Oct 6, 2024 National Division 1 - VV
Leuven B vs Merelbeke
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leuven B 66 / 100
Merelbeke 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leuven B Merelbeke

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leuven B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Leuven B scored in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Merelbeke has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Leuven B has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Leuven B VS Merelbeke
2.63 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 25%
88% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Leuven B

(Home)
07 Nov
SK Roeselare
0 : 0
Leuven B
01 Nov
Leuven B
3 : 3
Cercle Brugge 2
24 Oct
Dessel
2 : 2
Leuven B
18 Oct
Leuven B
4 : 1
KRC Harelbeke
11 Oct
Leuven B
0 : 0
Heist
Page 1 of 6

Merelbeke

(Away)
06 Nov
Merelbeke
2 : 1
Heist
30 Oct
Merelbeke
0 : 4
SK Roeselare
24 Oct
Houtvenne
1 : 1
Merelbeke
18 Oct
Knokke
0 : 3
Merelbeke
11 Oct
Merelbeke
0 : 2
Mandel United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mandel United 11 8 1 2 22:10 25
2 Houtvenne 11 7 1 3 22:15 22
3 SK Roeselare 11 6 4 1 18:5 22
4 Thes Sport 11 5 4 2 18:12 19
5 Leuven B 11 5 4 2 24:19 19
6 Merelbeke 11 5 3 3 16:13 18
7 Heist 11 5 2 4 23:15 17
8 Belisia Bilzen 11 5 2 4 21:18 17
9 Dessel 11 4 3 4 22:23 15
10 Hoogstraten 11 3 4 4 24:20 13
11 Tienen 11 3 3 5 17:18 12
12 Knokke 11 3 1 7 11:18 10
13 K. Lyra-Lierse 11 2 3 6 17:25 9
14 Cercle Brugge 2 11 2 3 6 16:27 9
15 Zelzate 11 2 3 6 14:26 9
16 KRC Harelbeke 11 2 1 8 9:30 7
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