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Leuven vs Genk Prediction & H2H Stats

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 Den Dreef, Heverlee
Leuven Logo

Leuven

0 - 2
FT
Genk Logo

Genk

Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Ito J.
Assist: Medina Y.
33' Event
Yokoyama A.
Assist: El Ouahdi Z.
46'
Sub
Opoku D. In: Gil O.
Out: Opoku D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 game between Leuven and Genk finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Genk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Leuven
35%
Draws
39%
Genk
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Genk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Leuven haven't matched Genk's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Genk a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Genk have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Leuven Clean Sheet 10%
Genk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leuven Genk
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 6 9
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.38 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Leuven vs Genk
0:2
Apr 12, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Genk vs Leuven
0:0
Nov 30, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Genk vs Leuven
2:1
Aug 15, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Leuven vs Genk
1:2
Jan 11, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Genk vs Leuven
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leuven Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Genk Compare

Top Goalscorer Ito J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yokoyama A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leuven 18 / 100
Genk 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leuven Genk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Genk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Leuven scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Genk let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Leuven remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Leuven VS Genk
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Leuven

(Home)
19 Sept
Leuven
2 : 0
RAAL La Louviere
12 Sept
Leuven
1 : 1
Cercle Brugge
06 Sept
SK Beveren
3 : 0
Leuven
03 Sept
Gent
1 : 0
Leuven
29 Aug
Leuven
1 : 2
St. Liege
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Genk

(Away)
20 Sept
Club Brugge
3 : 0
Genk
13 Sept
Genk
1 : 1
Gent
06 Sept
Anderlecht
0 : 0
Genk
28 Aug
Genk
4 : 0
SK Beveren
22 Aug
Antwerp
4 : 4
Genk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Genk 10 4 5 1 11:6 38
8 St. Liege 10 5 2 3 17:11 37
9 Charleroi 10 5 2 3 12:8 34
10 Westerlo 10 4 1 5 14:17 33
11 Antwerp 10 4 1 5 12:16 31
12 Leuven 10 1 3 6 9:17 23
Promotion - Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)