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Leuven vs Genk

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 Den Dreef, Heverlee
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Ito J.
Assist: Medina Y.
33' Event
Yokoyama A.
Assist: El Ouahdi Z.
46'
Sub
Opoku D. In: Gil O.
Out: Opoku D.

AI Match Summary

The Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 game between Leuven and Genk finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Genk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Leuven
6%
Draws
4%
Genk
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Leuven

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Leuven haven't matched Genk's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Leuven a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Genk have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Leuven Clean Sheet 14%
Genk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leuven Genk
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 12
Draws 8 7
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 2.25 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Leuven vs Genk
0:2
Apr 12, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Genk vs Leuven
0:0
Nov 30, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Genk vs Leuven
2:1
Aug 15, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Leuven vs Genk
1:2
Jan 11, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Genk vs Leuven
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leuven Compare

Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Genk Compare

Top Goalscorer Ito J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yokoyama A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leuven 84 / 100
Genk 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leuven Genk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Leuven scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Genk let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Leuven remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Leuven VS Genk
2.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Leuven

(Home)
25 Jul
Heerenveen
4 : 4
Leuven
24 Jul
Club Brugge U23
3 : 0
Leuven
18 Jul
Leuven
1 : 0
Lierse SK
15 Jul
Leuven
5 : 1
Lommel SK
11 Jul
Olympiacos Piraeus
1 : 1
Leuven
Page 1 of 6

Genk

(Away)
29 Jul
Bayer Leverkusen
4 : 0
Genk
22 Jul
AZ Alkmaar
4 : 0
Genk
18 Jul
Falkirk
1 : 0
Genk
17 Jul
Motherwell
3 : 4
Genk
11 Jul
Sittard
2 : 1
Genk
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
7Genk1045111:638
8St. Liege1052317:1137
9Charleroi1052312:834
10Westerlo1041514:1733
11Antwerp1041512:1631
12Leuven101369:1723
Promotion - Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)