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Leuven vs Kortrijk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League Den Dreef, Heverlee
Fri, Nov 27, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Leuven host Kortrijk in the Jupiler Pro League. This one's hard to separate. Leuven have averaged 1.48 scored and 1.69 conceded recently, against Kortrijk's 1.5 scored and 1.6 conceded. Head-to-head, Leuven have won 1 to Kortrijk's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Mar 8, 2025, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.50 - 0.94) back Leuven to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Leuven
30%
Draws
6%
Kortrijk
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Leuven

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kortrijk lately — more wins on the board than Leuven.
  • Model gives Leuven a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Jupiler Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Leuven Clean Sheet 20%
Kortrijk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leuven Kortrijk
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 8 5
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.48 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Kortrijk vs Leuven
2:0
Sep 22, 2024 Jupiler Pro League
Leuven vs Kortrijk
1:1
Jan 27, 2024 Jupiler Pro League
Kortrijk vs Leuven
0:0
Sep 1, 2023 Jupiler Pro League
Leuven vs Kortrijk
3:0
Jul 15, 2023 Club Friendly
Leuven vs Kortrijk
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leuven 85 / 100
Kortrijk 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leuven Kortrijk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leuven Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Kortrijk conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Leuven has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Leuven scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Difficult form: Kortrijk registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leuven VS Kortrijk
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Leuven

(Home)
07 Nov
Leuven
2 : 0
KV Mechelen
01 Nov
St. Truiden
1 : 2
Leuven
24 Oct
Leuven
2 : 2
Lommel SK
17 Oct
Leuven
1 : 0
Francs Borains
11 Oct
Royale Union SG
1 : 1
Leuven
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Kortrijk

(Away)
08 Nov
Gent
1 : 0
Kortrijk
04 Nov
Kortrijk
1 : 3
KV Mechelen
31 Oct
St. Liege
1 : 1
Kortrijk
10 Oct
Genk
3 : 0
Kortrijk
26 Sept
Heist
3 : 2
Kortrijk
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Royale Union SG 11 9 2 0 30:7 29
2 Club Brugge 11 9 1 1 27:9 28
3 Gent 11 9 1 1 20:6 28
4 Charleroi 11 9 0 2 26:13 27
5 Anderlecht 11 6 2 3 14:12 20
6 Lommel SK 11 4 4 3 15:13 16
7 Genk 11 4 3 4 18:15 15
8 St. Liege 11 4 3 4 18:16 15
9 Westerlo 11 4 2 5 26:30 14
10 Leuven 11 3 3 5 12:17 12
11 KV Mechelen 11 3 3 5 13:20 12
12 St. Truiden 11 3 2 6 22:22 11
13 Antwerp 11 3 2 6 18:24 11
14 Waregem 11 3 2 6 13:20 11
15 SK Beveren 11 3 1 7 13:23 10
16 Cercle Brugge 11 2 3 6 14:22 9
17 RAAL La Louviere 11 2 1 8 13:24 7
18 Kortrijk 11 1 1 9 4:23 4
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)