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Leuven vs Lille - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
16' Event
Santos T.
31' Event
Ikwuemesi C.

AI Match Summary

Lille in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 3-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lille.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Leuven
15%
Draws
59%
Lille
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lille

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Leuven haven't matched Lille's recent run of results.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Lille taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Leuven Clean Sheet 14%
Lille Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leuven Lille
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 7 16
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.41 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.7 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Leuven vs Lille
3:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leuven Compare

Top Goalscorer Ikwuemesi C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Balikwisha W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Lille Compare

Top Goalscorer Mbappe E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Santos T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leuven 27 / 100
Lille 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leuven Lille

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lille Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 9.00 goals when they meet.

Leuven scored in 63% of their last 27 games.

Lille let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.

Leuven went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leuven VS Lille
0.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Leuven

(Home)
19 Sept
Leuven
2 : 0
RAAL La Louviere
12 Sept
Leuven
1 : 1
Cercle Brugge
06 Sept
SK Beveren
3 : 0
Leuven
03 Sept
Gent
1 : 0
Leuven
29 Aug
Leuven
1 : 2
St. Liege
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Lille

(Away)
10 Oct
Lille
1 : 0
Le Havre
02 Oct
Lille
2 : 1
Waregem
20 Sept
Nice
2 : 1
Lille
13 Sept
Lille
2 : 0
Troyes
08 Sept
Lille
2 : 3
Betis
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