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Leuven vs Lille

World World

Club Friendly
Sat, Aug 1, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Leuven host Lille in the Club Friendly. Little to choose between these two on current form. Leuven have averaged 2 scored and 1.38 conceded recently, against Lille's 1 scored and 0.71 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.35 xG vs 1.19) point toward Lille. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Leuven
39%
Draws
31%
Lille
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Leuven haven't matched Lille's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Leuven Clean Sheet 20%
Lille Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leuven Lille
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 13
Draws 8 5
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 2 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.71

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leuven 31 / 100
Lille 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leuven Lille

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leuven's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Leuven went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Lille let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Lille lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leuven VS Lille
2 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.71
100% Over 1.5 57%
50% Over 2.5 29%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Leuven

(Home)
25 Jul
Heerenveen
4 : 4
Leuven
24 Jul
Club Brugge U23
3 : 0
Leuven
18 Jul
Leuven
1 : 0
Lierse SK
15 Jul
Leuven
5 : 1
Lommel SK
11 Jul
Olympiacos Piraeus
1 : 1
Leuven
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Lille

(Away)
25 Jul
Royale Union SG
2 : 1
Lille
18 Jul
Lille
3 : 0
RAAL La Louviere
17 May
Lille
0 : 2
Auxerre
10 May
Monaco
0 : 1
Lille
03 May
Lille
1 : 1
Le Havre
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