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Leuven vs Lommel SK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League Den Dreef, Heverlee
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
04:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Leuven host Lommel SK in the Jupiler Pro League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Leuven at 1.39 goals for, 1.68 against; Lommel SK at 1.66 for, 1.34 against. Head-to-head, Leuven have won 4 to Lommel SK's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 15, 2026, ending 5:1. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 1.69, favoring Lommel SK. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Leuven
30%
Draws
41%
Lommel SK
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lommel SK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lommel SK come out ahead of Leuven on wins alone.
  • Leuven are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Jupiler Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Leuven have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Leuven Clean Sheet 13%
Lommel SK Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leuven Lommel SK
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 15
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.39 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2026 Club Friendly
Leuven vs Lommel SK
5:1
Feb 8, 2020 Challenger Pro League
Leuven vs Lommel SK
3:0
Dec 6, 2019 Challenger Pro League
Lommel SK vs Leuven
3:2
Oct 20, 2019 Challenger Pro League
Lommel SK vs Leuven
0:2
Sep 22, 2019 Challenger Pro League
Leuven vs Lommel SK
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leuven 40 / 100
Lommel SK 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leuven Lommel SK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Leuven's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Lommel SK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Leuven went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leuven VS Lommel SK
1 Goals Scored 1
2.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Leuven

(Home)
11 Oct
Royale Union SG
1 : 1
Leuven
19 Sept
Leuven
2 : 0
RAAL La Louviere
12 Sept
Leuven
1 : 1
Cercle Brugge
06 Sept
SK Beveren
3 : 0
Leuven
03 Sept
Gent
1 : 0
Leuven
Page 1 of 6

Lommel SK

(Away)
09 Oct
SK Beveren
1 : 3
Lommel SK
26 Sept
Diksmuide Oostende
0 : 2
Lommel SK
19 Sept
Lommel SK
0 : 0
KV Mechelen
12 Sept
Royale Union SG
5 : 0
Lommel SK
04 Sept
Lommel SK
0 : 1
Club Brugge
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gent 8 7 1 0 15:4 22
2 Club Brugge 8 7 0 1 19:4 21
3 Charleroi 8 7 0 1 16:7 21
4 Royale Union SG 8 6 2 0 22:4 20
5 Anderlecht 8 5 1 2 9:6 16
6 Westerlo 8 4 1 3 20:17 13
7 Genk 8 3 3 2 16:12 12
8 Waregem 8 3 2 3 10:9 11
9 St. Liege 8 3 2 3 13:13 11
10 Lommel SK 8 3 2 3 9:9 11
11 SK Beveren 8 3 0 5 8:14 9
12 St. Truiden 8 2 2 4 15:16 8
13 Antwerp 8 2 1 5 12:20 7
14 KV Mechelen 8 1 3 4 9:17 6
15 Leuven 8 1 2 5 6:14 5
16 RAAL La Louviere 8 1 1 6 8:18 4
17 Kortrijk 8 1 0 7 2:18 3
18 Cercle Brugge 8 0 3 5 9:16 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League 2027/2028 (Main)