Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Leuven vs St. Liege

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 Den Dreef, Heverlee
Leuven Logo

Leuven

1 - 3
FT
St. Liege Logo

St. Liege

Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Teklab H.
Assist: Schrijvers S.
60'
Sub
Nkada T. In: Eckert D.
Out: Nkada T.
61'
Sub
Said R. In: Nguene B.
Out: Said R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

St. Liege in this Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored St. Liege.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Leuven
30%
Draws
58%
St. Liege
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: St. Liege

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Leuven haven't matched St. Liege's recent run of results.
  • Model gives St. Liege a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Leuven Clean Sheet 10%
St. Liege Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leuven St. Liege
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 8 8
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.47 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
St. Liege vs Leuven
2:1
Apr 4, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Leuven vs St. Liege
1:3
Dec 12, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
St. Liege vs Leuven
0:1
Aug 31, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Leuven vs St. Liege
1:0
Apr 26, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Leuven vs St. Liege
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leuven Compare

Top Goalscorer Teklab H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

St. Liege Compare

Top Goalscorer Eckert D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leuven 18 / 100
St. Liege 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leuven St. Liege

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Liege Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Leuven scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: St. Liege conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Leuven remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Leuven VS St. Liege
2.63 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Leuven

(Home)
15 Aug
Leuven
0 : 3
Club Brugge
09 Aug
Charleroi
3 : 1
Leuven
01 Aug
Leuven
3 : 6
Lille
25 Jul
Heerenveen
4 : 4
Leuven
24 Jul
Club Brugge U23
3 : 0
Leuven
Page 1 of 6

St. Liege

(Away)
16 Aug
KV Mechelen
3 : 3
St. Liege
08 Aug
St. Liege
2 : 2
Cercle Brugge
01 Aug
St. Liege
0 : 3
FC Viktoria Koln
26 Jul
St. Liege
2 : 1
RFC Seraing
25 Jul
St. Liege
0 : 1
Juventus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Genk 10 4 5 1 11:6 38
8 St. Liege 10 5 2 3 17:11 37
9 Charleroi 10 5 2 3 12:8 34
10 Westerlo 10 4 1 5 14:17 33
11 Antwerp 10 4 1 5 12:16 31
12 Leuven 10 1 3 6 9:17 23
Promotion - Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)