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Levadia U21 vs FC Tallinn

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Club Friendly
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AI Match Summary

Levadia U21 play FC Tallinn in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Levadia U21 averaged 1.97 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. FC Tallinn averaged 1.67 goals scored and 2.6 conceded. In past meetings, Levadia U21 won 3, FC Tallinn won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 21, 2026 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for Levadia U21 and 1.06 for FC Tallinn. This points to a Levadia U21 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Levadia U21
15%
Draws
35%
FC Tallinn
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Levadia U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Levadia U21 picked up more points recently compared to FC Tallinn.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72%
Levadia U21 Clean Sheet 22%
FC Tallinn Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Levadia U21 FC Tallinn
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 4 6
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.97 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.83 2.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 Esiliiga
Levadia U21 vs FC Tallinn
4:0
Apr 27, 2026 Esiliiga
FC Tallinn vs Levadia U21
4:2
Feb 15, 2026 Club Friendly
Levadia U21 vs FC Tallinn
3:2
Sep 18, 2025 Esiliiga
FC Tallinn vs Levadia U21
2:3
Jul 26, 2025 Esiliiga
Levadia U21 vs FC Tallinn
5:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Levadia U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kompus A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Belenikin K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

FC Tallinn Compare

Top Goalscorer Irha E.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Levadia U21 49 / 100
FC Tallinn 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Levadia U21 FC Tallinn

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Levadia U21 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19%
2.38
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.4%
1.39
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Levadia U21 attacking → ← attacking FC Tallinn

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Levadia U21 scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

FC Tallinn let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 6.20 goals.

Levadia U21 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

FC Tallinn lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 33
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88