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Levadia U21 vs Kalju U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga Maarjamae staadion, Tallinn
Wed, Oct 14, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Levadia U21 host Kalju U21 in the Esiliiga. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Levadia U21 have averaged 2.07 scored and 1.9 conceded recently, against Kalju U21's 1.24 scored and 2.62 conceded. Head-to-head, Levadia U21 have won 3 to Kalju U21's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 18, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (2.38 - 1.56) back Levadia U21 to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Levadia U21
15%
Draws
20%
Kalju U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Levadia U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Levadia U21 lately — more wins on the board than Kalju U21.
  • Model gives Levadia U21 a 65% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Esiliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Levadia U21 Clean Sheet 15%
Kalju U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Levadia U21 Kalju U21
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 6
Draws 2 4
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 2.07 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.9 2.62
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Esiliiga
Kalju U21 vs Levadia U21
0:2
May 11, 2026 Esiliiga
Kalju U21 vs Levadia U21
1:0
Mar 7, 2026 Esiliiga
Levadia U21 vs Kalju U21
2:0
Jan 31, 2026 Club Friendly
Levadia U21 vs Kalju U21
4:1
Oct 20, 2025 Esiliiga
Levadia U21 vs Kalju U21
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Levadia U21 84 / 100
Kalju U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Levadia U21 Kalju U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Levadia U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Levadia U21 scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Kalju U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Levadia U21 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Levadia U21 VS Kalju U21
2 Goals Scored 0.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Levadia U21

(Home)
13 Sept
FC Tallinn
1 : 5
Levadia U21
10 Sept
Levadia U21
0 : 0
Tartu JK Welco
04 Sept
Levadia U21
6 : 2
Flora Tallinn U21
29 Aug
Maardu Linnameeskond
4 : 2
Levadia U21
23 Aug
Levadia U21
2 : 1
FC Tallinn
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Kalju U21

(Away)
14 Sept
Tartu JK Welco
3 : 0
Kalju U21
10 Sept
Kalju U21
1 : 5
Flora Tallinn U21
06 Sept
Elva
1 : 0
Kalju U21
29 Aug
FC Tallinn
0 : 2
Kalju U21
23 Aug
Kalju U21
2 : 4
Tartu JK Welco
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tartu JK Welco 29 18 5 6 79:39 59
2 Viimsi JK 29 15 5 9 56:29 50
3 Flora Tallinn U21 29 14 5 10 70:51 47
4 Elva 29 14 5 10 46:43 47
5 Maardu Linnameeskond 27 12 5 10 45:55 41
6 Levadia U21 29 13 2 14 60:55 41
7 Tallinna Kalev 28 10 6 12 50:53 36
8 Nomme Utd U21 29 9 6 14 47:60 33
9 FC Tallinn 28 7 7 14 34:62 28
10 Kalju U21 29 6 4 19 36:76 22
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2027 (Main)