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Levadia U21 vs Merkuur-Juunior

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga 2005 Kadrioru Staadion
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Levadia U21 play Merkuur-Juunior in the Esiliiga 2005. Levadia U21 are favorites here. Recently, Levadia U21 averaged 2.09 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. Merkuur-Juunior averaged 0.67 goals scored and 2.7 conceded. In past meetings, Levadia U21 won 4, Merkuur-Juunior won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 22, 2005 ended 5:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Levadia U21 and 1.00 for Merkuur-Juunior. This points to a Levadia U21 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Levadia U21
25%
Draws
15%
Merkuur-Juunior
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Levadia U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Levadia U21 picked up more points recently compared to Merkuur-Juunior.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 77%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 91%
Over 2.5 Goals 77%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Levadia U21 Clean Sheet 23%
Merkuur-Juunior Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 82%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Levadia U21 Merkuur-Juunior
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 16 1
Draws 3 6
Losses 13 23
Goals Scored 2.09 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.7

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 22, 2005 Esiliiga
Levadia U21 vs Merkuur-Juunior
5:0
Aug 6, 2005 Esiliiga
Merkuur-Juunior vs Levadia U21
0:4
Jun 18, 2005 Esiliiga
Levadia U21 vs Merkuur-Juunior
2:0
Mar 19, 2005 Esiliiga
Merkuur-Juunior vs Levadia U21
3:5

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Levadia U21 59 / 100
Merkuur-Juunior 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Levadia U21 Merkuur-Juunior

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Levadia U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Levadia U21 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.6%
1.41
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Levadia U21 attacking → ← attacking Merkuur-Juunior

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Levadia U21 scored in 91% of their last 32 games.

Merkuur-Juunior let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.75 goals.

Levadia U21 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Merkuur-Juunior lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

51 Points in last 5 9
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Parnu Linnameeskond36266492:3984
2Levadia U21362646104:3182
3Lasnamae362385111:3077
4Tallinna Kalev36189985:7163
5Tervis Parnu361491373:5351
6TVMK Tallinn II361251951:8041
7Elva361062042:7136
8Lelle361112449:10034
9JK Jalgpallihaigla36942338:10031
10Merkuur-Juunior36262827:9712