Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Levadia vs Flora

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Wendell
Assist: Skvortsov M.
38'
Peetson R.
55'
Antonov I.

AI Match Summary

The Meistriliiga game between Levadia and Flora finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Flora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Levadia
15%
Draws
34%
Flora
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Levadia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Levadia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Levadia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Levadia Clean Sheet 20%
Flora Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Levadia Flora
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 24 18
Draws 3 3
Losses 2 10
Goals Scored 3.07 2
Goals Conceded 0.72 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Meistriliiga
Levadia vs Flora
1:2
Jun 13, 2026 Meistriliiga
Flora vs Levadia
1:3
Apr 19, 2026 Meistriliiga
Levadia vs Flora
4:0
Feb 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Flora vs Levadia
1:0
Oct 29, 2025 Estonian Cup
Flora vs Levadia
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Levadia Compare

Top Goalscorer Wendell
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

Flora Compare

Top Goalscorer Alamaa S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Usta T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Levadia 85 / 100
Flora 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Levadia Flora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Levadia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Levadia scored in 100% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Levadia stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Flora's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Levadia VS Flora
3.5 Goals Scored 1.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Levadia

(Home)
17 Sept
Levadia
6 : 0
Tammeka Tartu
12 Sept
Levadia
4 : 0
Parnu JK Vaprus
09 Sept
Levadia
4 : 0
Kuressaare
06 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
0 : 2
Levadia
30 Aug
Kalju
2 : 3
Levadia
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Flora

(Away)
12 Sept
Nomme Utd
2 : 3
Flora
08 Sept
Narva
2 : 2
Flora
05 Sept
Flora
2 : 1
Kalju
02 Sept
Flora
3 : 2
Tammeka Tartu
30 Aug
Flora
1 : 2
Paide Linnameeskond
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia 28 22 5 1 80:20 71
2 Flora 28 17 1 10 56:37 52
3 Paide Linnameeskond 28 14 6 8 45:35 48
4 Kalju 28 14 5 9 49:26 47
5 Tammeka Tartu 28 14 2 12 36:44 44
6 Harju JK Laagri 29 11 2 16 40:47 35
7 Parnu JK Vaprus 28 10 4 14 37:54 34
8 Kuressaare 29 8 5 16 31:49 29
9 Nomme Utd 28 9 1 18 46:65 28
10 Narva 28 5 3 20 21:64 18
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)