Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Levadia vs JK Retro

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2020/2021 Kadrioru Staadion, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Kouadio E.
21' Event
Kouadio E.
31' Event
Komlov A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 5-0, with Levadia advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

66%
Levadia
15%
Draws
19%
JK Retro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Levadia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / High Confidence
  • Levadia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Levadia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Levadia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Levadia, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Levadia Clean Sheet 20%
JK Retro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Levadia JK Retro
Matches Played 31 4
Wins 25 1
Draws 4 0
Losses 2 3
Goals Scored 3.06 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.71 3.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.98 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2020 Estonian Cup
Levadia vs JK Retro
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Levadia Compare

Top Goalscorer Kouadio E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Komlov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.99

JK Retro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Levadia 85 / 100
JK Retro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Levadia JK Retro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Levadia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Levadia's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Levadia went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

JK Retro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 4 matches.

Scoring Trends

Levadia VS -
2.75 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Levadia

(Home)
20 Sept
Narva
1 : 1
Levadia
17 Sept
Levadia
6 : 0
Tammeka Tartu
12 Sept
Levadia
4 : 0
Parnu JK Vaprus
09 Sept
Levadia
4 : 0
Kuressaare
06 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
0 : 2
Levadia
Page 1 of 7

JK Retro

(Away)
23 Sept
Levadia
5 : 0
JK Retro
06 Aug
JK Retro
5 : 0
Loo JK
21 Jun
Ganvix Turi
3 : 2
JK Retro
29 Jun
JK Retro
0 : 7
Sillamae Kalev

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Tartu JK Welco -
TBD -
TBD -
Flora U19 -
FCI Tallinn 5
Helios 1
Kuressaare 18
Anija 0
Pohja-Sakala 5
Aksi Wolves 1
TBD -
Lelle -
Parnu -
TBD -
TBD -
Flora -
Marjamaa Kompanii 4
Teleios 1
TBD -
Soccernet -
Rumori Calcio II -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Lootos Polva -
Viimsi Lovid -
TBD -
TBD -
Parnu JK Vaprus -
Zenit Tallinn -
TBD -
TBD -
Tammeka Tartu -
Helm -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev U21 -
Vastseliina Tannem -
TBD -
Narva 4
Paide Linnameeskond III 0
Rumori Calcio -
TBD -
Parnu Sadam 8
Puhkus Mehhikos 1
Tallinna Wolves -
TBD -
Paide Linnameeskond IV 1
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 2
Raplamaa 3
Eston Villa II 0
TBD -
JK Jalgpallihaigla -
Jogeva -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Hell Hunt -
Imavere Forss -
TBD -
TBD -
Valga Warrior -
TransferWise -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev 6
Nomme Utd 3
Kalju -
TBD -
TBD -
Rummu Dunamo -
Kohvile 9
JK 32. keskkool 0
TBD -
Tallinn Piraaja -
Maksatransport -
TBD -
Legion 9
HF Beer 0
Saku Sporting 6
Kadakas 0
TBD -
Rakvere -
Paide Linnameeskond 24
Eyjafjallajokull 0
TBD -
Tulevik U21 -
Tallinna Pocarr 3
Igiliikur 0
TBD -
ReUnited -
Olympic Tallinn 1
JK Poseidon 2
TBD -
Kose -
Tulevik -
TBD -
TBD -
Maardu Aliens -
Legion II -
TBD -
FC Tallinn 2
Elva 1
Vandra Vaprus -
TBD -
Flora Tallinn U21 10
Tallinna FC Zapoos 1
Laanemaa Haapsalu -
TBD -
Levadia 6
Kohtla-Nomme 0
JK Retro -
TBD -
Loo JK 9
Metsis 1
Eston Villa 2
Rasmus Varki Jalgpallikool 0
TBD -
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve U21 -
Pohja-Tallinna 4
Jogeva Wolves 2
TBD -
Jarva-Jaani -
Viimsi JK 4
Kristiine 2
Maardu Linnameeskond 9
FC Sssolutions 0
Hiiumaa -
TBD -
TBD -
Keila JK -
1/32-finals
Tartu JK Welco 2
Flora U19 1
FCI Tallinn 2
Kuressaare 3
Pohja-Sakala 6
Lelle 1
Parnu 1
Flora 4
Marjamaa Kompanii 4
Soccernet 1
Rumori Calcio II 3
FC Lootos Polva 0
Viimsi Lovid 0
Parnu JK Vaprus 4
Zenit Tallinn 0
Tammeka Tartu 13
Helm 2
Tallinna Kalev U21 1
Vastseliina Tannem 0
Narva 5
Rumori Calcio 2
Parnu Sadam 3
Tallinna Wolves 0
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 3
Raplamaa 13
JK Jalgpallihaigla 0
Jogeva 1
FC Hell Hunt 2
Imavere Forss 5
Valga Warrior 1
TransferWise 0
Tallinna Kalev 11
Kalju 8
Rummu Dunamo 0
Kohvile 1
Tallinn Piraaja 3
Maksatransport 0
Legion 6
Saku Sporting 3
Rakvere 2
Paide Linnameeskond 9
Tulevik U21 0
Tallinna Pocarr 1
ReUnited 0
JK Poseidon 0
Kose 2
Tulevik -
Maardu Aliens -
Legion II 0
FC Tallinn 4
Vandra Vaprus 5
Flora Tallinn U21 4
Laanemaa Haapsalu 0
Levadia 2
JK Retro 5
Loo JK 0
Eston Villa 6
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve U21 0
Pohja-Tallinna 4
Jarva-Jaani 0
Viimsi JK 1
Maardu Linnameeskond 2
Hiiumaa 3
Keila JK 4
1/16-finals
Tartu JK Welco 1
Kuressaare 6
Pohja-Sakala 0
Flora 3
Marjamaa Kompanii 2
Rumori Calcio II 1
Parnu JK Vaprus 0
Tammeka Tartu 1
Helm 1
Narva 2
Parnu Sadam -
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve -
Raplamaa 1
FC Hell Hunt 2
Imavere Forss 0
Tallinna Kalev 3
Kalju 4
Tallinn Piraaja 0
Legion 11
Saku Sporting 0
Paide Linnameeskond 13
Tallinna Pocarr 0
Kose 0
Tulevik 8
FC Tallinn 2
Vandra Vaprus 0
Levadia 5
JK Retro 0
Eston Villa 2
Pohja-Tallinna 1
Maardu Linnameeskond 5
Keila JK 3
1/8-finals
Kuressaare 0
Flora 4
Marjamaa Kompanii 0
Tammeka Tartu 15
Narva 3
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 0
FC Hell Hunt 0
Tallinna Kalev 4
Kalju 3
Legion 0
Paide Linnameeskond 2
Tulevik 3
FC Tallinn 0
Levadia 3
Eston Villa 0
Maardu Linnameeskond 2
Quarter-finals
Flora 2
Tammeka Tartu 1
Narva 2
Tallinna Kalev 1
Kalju 1
Tulevik 2
Levadia 2
Maardu Linnameeskond 0
Semi-finals
Flora 2
Narva 1
Tulevik 0
Levadia 2
Final
Flora 0
Levadia 1