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Stadium Background

Levadia vs Kuressaare - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Skvortsov M.
Assist: Lehtmets G.
24'
Sub
Liiv H. In: Saliste J.
Out: Liiv H.
40' Event
Lehtmets G.
Assist: Otoo E.

AI Match Summary

The Meistriliiga game between Levadia and Kuressaare finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Levadia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
Levadia
15%
Draws
18%
Kuressaare
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Levadia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Levadia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 67% — that's where the model lands on Levadia taking it.
  • Regular Meistriliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Levadia here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Levadia Clean Sheet 68%
Kuressaare Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Levadia Kuressaare
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 25 10
Draws 3 6
Losses 2 13
Goals Scored 3.07 1.45
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2026 Meistriliiga
Kuressaare vs Levadia
0:2
Sep 9, 2026 Meistriliiga
Levadia vs Kuressaare
4:0
May 2, 2026 Meistriliiga
Kuressaare vs Levadia
1:2
Mar 8, 2026 Meistriliiga
Levadia vs Kuressaare
2:0
Oct 18, 2025 Meistriliiga
Kuressaare vs Levadia
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Levadia Compare

Top Goalscorer Skvortsov M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lehtmets G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Kuressaare Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Levadia 95 / 100
Kuressaare 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Levadia Kuressaare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Levadia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 10:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Levadia's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Levadia remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Kuressaare has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Levadia VS Kuressaare
3.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Levadia

(Home)
31 Oct
Nomme Utd
3 : 4
Levadia
27 Oct
Levadia
2 : 1
Tammeka Tartu
24 Oct
Levadia
2 : 1
Harju JK Laagri
18 Oct
Kuressaare
0 : 2
Levadia
15 Oct
Flora
1 : 3
Levadia
Page 1 of 6

Kuressaare

(Away)
01 Nov
Kalju
1 : 0
Kuressaare
28 Oct
Parnu JK Vaprus
1 : 1
Kuressaare
24 Oct
Kuressaare
0 : 1
Paide Linnameeskond
18 Oct
Kuressaare
0 : 2
Levadia
14 Oct
Narva
0 : 1
Kuressaare
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia 35 28 6 1 95:27 90
2 Paide Linnameeskond 35 19 6 10 54:41 63
3 Flora 35 20 1 14 66:49 61
4 Kalju 35 18 6 11 59:34 60
5 Tammeka Tartu 35 17 2 16 50:55 53
6 Harju JK Laagri 35 15 2 18 50:52 47
7 Nomme Utd 35 12 1 22 58:80 37
8 Parnu JK Vaprus 35 10 7 18 46:69 37
9 Kuressaare 35 10 6 19 35:54 36
10 Narva 35 5 5 25 26:78 20
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)