Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Levadia vs Kuressaare

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Skvortsov M.
Assist: Lehtmets G.
24'
Sub
Liiv H. In: Saliste J.
Out: Liiv H.
40' Event
Lehtmets G.
Assist: Otoo E.

AI Match Summary

The Meistriliiga game between Levadia and Kuressaare finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Levadia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Levadia
15%
Draws
34%
Kuressaare
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Levadia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Levadia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Levadia taking it.
  • Regular Meistriliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Levadia here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Levadia Clean Sheet 68%
Kuressaare Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Levadia Kuressaare
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 23 10
Draws 5 4
Losses 2 14
Goals Scored 2.77 1.54
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Meistriliiga
Levadia vs Kuressaare
4:0
May 2, 2026 Meistriliiga
Kuressaare vs Levadia
1:2
Mar 8, 2026 Meistriliiga
Levadia vs Kuressaare
2:0
Oct 18, 2025 Meistriliiga
Kuressaare vs Levadia
0:3
Aug 1, 2025 Meistriliiga
Levadia vs Kuressaare
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Levadia Compare

Top Goalscorer Skvortsov M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lehtmets G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Kuressaare Compare

Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Levadia 95 / 100
Kuressaare 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Levadia Kuressaare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Levadia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 10:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Levadia's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Kuressaare conceded in 89% of 28 recent games.

Levadia has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Levadia VS Kuressaare
2.75 Goals Scored 3
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Levadia

(Home)
06 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
0 : 2
Levadia
30 Aug
Kalju
2 : 3
Levadia
26 Aug
Levadia
4 : 1
Paide Linnameeskond
21 Aug
Levadia
4 : 0
Narva
16 Aug
Harju JK Laagri
1 : 2
Levadia
Page 1 of 6

Kuressaare

(Away)
05 Sept
Kuressaare
3 : 1
Narva
29 Aug
Kuressaare
2 : 2
Parnu JK Vaprus
22 Aug
Tammeka Tartu
1 : 0
Kuressaare
16 Aug
Flora
2 : 3
Kuressaare
11 Aug
Kristiine
0 : 8
Kuressaare
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia 25 19 5 1 66:20 62
2 Flora 27 16 1 10 53:35 49
3 Kalju 27 13 5 9 47:26 44
4 Paide Linnameeskond 25 12 6 7 40:33 42
5 Tammeka Tartu 25 13 2 10 33:35 41
6 Harju JK Laagri 26 10 1 15 36:43 31
7 Parnu JK Vaprus 25 9 4 12 34:46 31
8 Nomme Utd 27 9 1 17 44:62 28
9 Kuressaare 26 8 4 14 30:42 28
10 Narva 27 5 3 19 21:62 18
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)