Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Levadia vs Lihula JK

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2013/2014
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Iljin V.
20' Event
Teever I.
31' Event
Iljin V.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 8-0, with Levadia advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Levadia
15%
Draws
27%
Lihula JK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Levadia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Levadia come out ahead of Lihula JK on wins alone.
  • Levadia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Levadia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Levadia, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Levadia Clean Sheet 68%
Lihula JK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Levadia Lihula JK
Matches Played 31 5
Wins 25 2
Draws 4 0
Losses 2 3
Goals Scored 3.16 3
Goals Conceded 0.71 3.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.98 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2013 Estonian Cup
Levadia vs Lihula JK
8:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Levadia Compare

Top Goalscorer Iljin V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rohtla H.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.99

Lihula JK Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Levadia 95 / 100
Lihula JK 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Levadia Lihula JK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Levadia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 8:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Levadia found the back of the net in 100% of recent matches (31 games).

Lihula JK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 5 matches.

These sides typically produce 8.00 goals when they meet.

Levadia went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Levadia VS -
2.75 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Levadia

(Home)
20 Sept
Narva
1 : 1
Levadia
17 Sept
Levadia
6 : 0
Tammeka Tartu
12 Sept
Levadia
4 : 0
Parnu JK Vaprus
09 Sept
Levadia
4 : 0
Kuressaare
06 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
0 : 2
Levadia
Page 1 of 7

Lihula JK

(Away)
25 Jul
Anija
5 : 1
Lihula JK
21 Jun
Lihula JK
7 : 1
Elbato
22 Jul
Levadia
8 : 0
Lihula JK
12 Jun
Lihula JK
7 : 1
Lelle
26 Jun
Navi Vutiselts
1 : 0
Lihula JK

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
FCI Tallinn 9
Castovanni Eagles 0
Rakvere 3
Tallinna Kalev 5
Viimsi MRJK -
TBD -
Rada Kuusalu 1
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 3
SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS -
TBD -
TBD -
Smuuli -
Igiliikur 1
FC KIIU 0
TBD -
FC Tartu -
Tartu JK Welco -
TBD -
TBD -
SK Taaksi -
Trummi 7
Helios 4
Pokkeriprod 1
FC Ararat 6
Jarva-Jaani -
TBD -
Pirita -
Merkuur Tartu -
Lasnamae 5
Saku Sporting 0
TBD -
Puuma -
Tammeka Tartu II 4
Soccernet 0
Tallinna Kalev III 0
Elva 1
Ambla 5
Loo JK 3
Rakvere Wiswald 0
FCI Tallinn II 7
Vaatsa Vald -
TBD -
TBD -
JK Jalgpallihaigla -
IAFA Estonia -
TBD -
Tartu Harrastajad 0
Saue JK Laagri 9
Flora 18
Reaal 0
Tallinna Dnipro 0
Sillamae Kalev 11
Imavere Forss 4
Tapa 1
Olympic Tallinn 0
Tulevik 4
Kalju 14
Puhajarve Revali 0
TBD -
Kohtla-Nomme -
Lihula JK 7
Lelle 1
Voru 0
Levadia 11
Viimsi JK 4
Kaitseliit 0
Jogeva 1
Ulikool Tallinn 2
Maardu Linnameeskond 3
Metropool Parnu 1
TBD -
Tammeka Tartu -
Legion -
Kose JK -
Ganvix Turi 0
Eston Villa 1
Navi Vutiselts 5
Kaitseliit II 1
Torva JK 1
Tartu SK 10 6
Parnu Linnameeskond 3
Kalju III 1
TBD -
FC Balteco -
Tartu Ulikool -
Taebla -
Dinamo Tallinn 1
Otepaa 2
Nomme Utd 1
SK EPMU Tartu 0
TBD -
Haiba -
Shnelli 3
Raudteetoolised 2
Parnu-Jaagupi -
Johvi Phoenix -
Kuressaare 3
Kadakas 0
Roosad Pantrid 1
JK Poseidon 8
Oismae Torm 4
Eesti Vaitlusselts 0
Valga Warrior 1
Tallinn Piraaja 3
Tartu SK 10 II 4
Maccabi 2
TBD -
Toompea -
Rummu Dunamo 2
Tallinna Kalev II 0
Twister Tallinn 0
Paide Linnameeskond 5
Kivioli Irbis 4
Kose 1
Leisi 2
FC Lootos Polva 5
Rapla 6
Donkers 0
Kalju II 0
Raasiku Joker 1
Narva 11
Retro 1
TBD -
Flora Tallinn U21 -
Tartu Tehased 3
Eestimaa Kasakad 2
Vandra Vaprus 1
Santos Tartu 3
1/32-finals
FCI Tallinn 2
Tallinna Kalev 1
Viimsi MRJK 0
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 5
SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS 5
Smuuli 1
Igiliikur 0
FC Tartu 4
Tartu JK Welco 5
SK Taaksi 2
Trummi 1
FC Ararat 2
Jarva-Jaani 2
Merkuur Tartu 0
Lasnamae 1
Puuma 5
Tammeka Tartu II 2
Elva 1
Ambla 1
FCI Tallinn II 8
Vaatsa Vald 2
JK Jalgpallihaigla 1
IAFA Estonia 1
Saue JK Laagri 2
Flora 1
Sillamae Kalev 0
Imavere Forss 0
Tulevik 1
Kalju 14
Kohtla-Nomme 0
Lihula JK 0
Levadia 8
Viimsi JK 1
Ulikool Tallinn 0
Maardu Linnameeskond 1
Tammeka Tartu 5
Legion 8
Eston Villa 0
Navi Vutiselts 0
Tartu SK 10 7
Parnu Linnameeskond 7
FC Balteco 1
Tartu Ulikool 0
Otepaa 3
Nomme Utd 7
Haiba 1
Shnelli 0
Johvi Phoenix 13
Kuressaare 6
JK Poseidon 1
Oismae Torm 0
Tallinn Piraaja 6
Tartu SK 10 II -
Toompea -
Rummu Dunamo 2
Paide Linnameeskond 5
Kivioli Irbis 7
FC Lootos Polva 1
Rapla 0
Raasiku Joker 9
Narva 4
Flora Tallinn U21 2
Tartu Tehased 0
Santos Tartu 8
1/16-finals
FCI Tallinn 6
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 0
SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS 1
FC Tartu 2
Tartu JK Welco 2
FC Ararat 1
Jarva-Jaani 1
Puuma 8
Tammeka Tartu II 2
FCI Tallinn II 1
Vaatsa Vald 0
Saue JK Laagri 4
Flora 2
Tulevik 1
Kalju 1
Levadia 3
Viimsi JK 3
Tammeka Tartu 1
Legion 1
Tartu SK 10 2
Parnu Linnameeskond 4
Otepaa 1
Nomme Utd 2
Johvi Phoenix 6
Kuressaare 1
Tallinn Piraaja 0
Tartu SK 10 II 1
Paide Linnameeskond 6
Kivioli Irbis 5
Raasiku Joker 1
Narva 0
Santos Tartu 1
1/8-finals
FCI Tallinn 6
FC Tartu 1
Tartu JK Welco 3
Puuma 4
Tammeka Tartu II 6
Saue JK Laagri 0
Flora 0
Levadia 2
Viimsi JK 1
Tartu SK 10 0
Parnu Linnameeskond 0
Johvi Phoenix 1
Kuressaare 1
Paide Linnameeskond 0
Kivioli Irbis 0
Santos Tartu 11
Quarter-finals
FCI Tallinn 2
Puuma 0
Tammeka Tartu II -
Levadia -
Viimsi JK 1
Johvi Phoenix 0
Kuressaare 1
Santos Tartu 3
Semi-finals
FCI Tallinn 0
Levadia 1
Viimsi JK 1
Santos Tartu 3
Final
Levadia 4
Santos Tartu 0