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Levadia vs Paide Linnameeskond

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Levadia host Paide Linnameeskond in the Meistriliiga. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Levadia have averaged 2.94 scored and 0.71 conceded recently, against Paide Linnameeskond's 2 scored and 1.29 conceded. Past meetings favor Levadia slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 6, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 2.50 vs 1.00, favoring Levadia. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Levadia
15%
Draws
32%
Paide Linnameeskond
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Levadia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Levadia lately — more wins on the board than Paide Linnameeskond.
  • Model gives Levadia a 53% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Levadia Clean Sheet 20%
Paide Linnameeskond Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Levadia Paide Linnameeskond
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 24 17
Draws 4 6
Losses 3 11
Goals Scored 2.94 2
Goals Conceded 0.71 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Meistriliiga
Paide Linnameeskond vs Levadia
0:2
Aug 26, 2026 Estonian Cup
Levadia vs Paide Linnameeskond
4:1
May 17, 2026 Meistriliiga
Paide Linnameeskond vs Levadia
1:3
Mar 22, 2026 Meistriliiga
Levadia vs Paide Linnameeskond
2:2
Oct 22, 2025 Meistriliiga
Levadia vs Paide Linnameeskond
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Levadia 85 / 100
Paide Linnameeskond 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Levadia Paide Linnameeskond

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Levadia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Levadia scored in 100% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Levadia stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Paide Linnameeskond has conceded goals in 68% of their last 34 outings.

Scoring Trends

Levadia VS Paide Linnameeskond
3.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Levadia

(Home)
12 Sept
Levadia
4 : 0
Parnu JK Vaprus
09 Sept
Levadia
4 : 0
Kuressaare
06 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
0 : 2
Levadia
30 Aug
Kalju
2 : 3
Levadia
26 Aug
Levadia
4 : 1
Paide Linnameeskond
Page 1 of 7

Paide Linnameeskond

(Away)
16 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
2 : 0
Parnu JK Vaprus
13 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
1 : 2
Harju JK Laagri
09 Sept
Tammeka Tartu
0 : 2
Paide Linnameeskond
06 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
0 : 2
Levadia
30 Aug
Flora
1 : 2
Paide Linnameeskond
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia 27 21 5 1 74:20 68
2 Flora 28 17 1 10 56:37 52
3 Paide Linnameeskond 28 14 6 8 45:35 48
4 Kalju 28 14 5 9 49:26 47
5 Tammeka Tartu 27 14 2 11 36:38 44
6 Harju JK Laagri 28 11 1 16 40:47 34
7 Parnu JK Vaprus 28 10 4 14 37:54 34
8 Nomme Utd 28 9 1 18 46:65 28
9 Kuressaare 28 8 4 16 31:49 28
10 Narva 28 5 3 20 21:64 18
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)